XRP News Today: XRP Price Could Surge 607% to 1,507% If ETFs Approved in October

The possibility of a U.S. spot XRP ETF approval has sparked widespread speculation about the potential surge in Ripple’s price. With the Ripple vs. SEC lawsuit concluded and several major asset managers having submitted ETF applications, the market is closely watching the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) upcoming decision, expected by October [2]. If approved, XRP ETFs could bring institutional and retail capital into the asset in a more regulated and accessible manner, significantly altering its market dynamics.

Crypto commentator Kenny Nguyen has projected that the XRP price could range between $22 and $50 once the first wave of ETFs launches. At $3.11 as of his comments, this represents a potential increase of between 607% and 1,507%. Such a rally would push XRP’s market cap to between $1.3 trillion and $3 trillion, far surpassing its current $186 billion [2]. The potential for substantial re-rating is further supported by XRP’s structural advantages. Unlike Ethereum, XRP does not offer staking rewards, meaning investors who choose ETFs do not miss out on potential yield, making it more attractive for certain types of investors [2].

Analyst Dom has applied a market cap multiplier of 272x to an estimated $5 billion in initial ETF inflows, projecting XRP’s market cap could reach $1.546 trillion, or $26 per XRP token [2]. Another model, comparing potential XRP ETF inflows to Bitcoin’s, suggests a 35% capture of Bitcoin ETF inflows could result in an XRP price of around $30, assuming a 100x multiplier [2]. A more conservative projection, based on 15% of Bitcoin ETF inflows ($5.85 billion), estimates XRP could reach $12.23, while a 30% capture scenario could lift the price to $22.20 [1]. These projections illustrate a wide but plausible range of outcomes should ETFs be approved and gain traction.

Historical parallels are frequently cited in the analysis. Bitcoin’s ETF launch in January 2024 initially saw a dip in price, but it later surged past $100,000 as ETFs accumulated over 1 million BTC. While Ethereum has yet to surpass its 2021 high despite ETF inflows, XRP’s unique attributes—its role in cross-border payments and large community—suggest it could follow a distinct but equally bullish trajectory [2].

The probability of XRP ETF approval is viewed as highly favorable. Bloomberg analysts have assigned a 95% chance, while prediction market Polymarket puts the odds between 80% and 88% [2]. Major asset managers such as 21Shares, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, Grayscale, and WisdomTree have all filed for XRP ETFs, and the SEC’s decision is expected by October [2].

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has stated that XRP ETFs are inevitable and likely to enter the market soon [9]. Other forecasts, including one from Bitwise, predict XRP could reach $12.68 by 2030, with a range of $0.13 to $29.32 depending on adoption trends [8]. Additional predictions include a $4 price target by December and a $10 price by 2030 [3][8]. These forecasts, while varying widely, underscore the belief that XRP could experience a material price increase if ETFs are approved and gain adoption.

Experts caution, however, that the price movement will depend on broader market sentiment, institutional inflows, and the overall state of the crypto market. As the XRP community and investors await the SEC’s decision, the potential for substantial price appreciation remains a central theme in discussions about the token’s future [2].

Source: [1] How High Could Ripple Price Go When XRP ETFs Go Live? (https://captainaltcoin.com/how-high-could-ripple-price-go-when-xrp-etfs-go-live/)

[2] Pundit Predicts XRP Should Be Around $20 to $50 When ... (https://thecryptobasic.com/2025/08/15/pundit-predicts-xrp-should-be-around-20-to-50-when-first-wave-of-spot-xrp-etfs-go-live/)

[3] Can Ripple (XRP) Reach $4 by December? (https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-8-1038959-20250814)

[8] Prediction: XRP Will Cost $10 in 2030 (https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-8-1035914-20250813)

[9] XRP ETF Launch Is Inevitable: Ripple CEO Predicts ... (https://bitcoinist.com/xrp-etf-launch-is-inevitable/)