XRP News Today: XRP Price Prediction Revised Amid Bearish Divergence and High Profit Supply

Crypto analyst Steph Is Crypto has revised his XRP price prediction based on a combination of technical indicators and market dynamics that suggest potential resistance ahead. In a recent analysis, he highlighted a bearish divergence between XRP’s price and retail interest, noting that while the asset hit new highs in August 2025, Google search volume did not reflect the same level of enthusiasm seen in July 2024 [2]. This discrepancy, he explained, indicates that the current rally is likely driven by institutional investors and long-term holders rather than new retail buyers [2].

Steph also pointed to the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for XRP and Bitcoin, which has formed a series of lower highs despite both assets recording higher price peaks since 2024. According to the analyst, this pattern suggests weakening momentum and could lead to a larger correction if the RSI trendline is broken [2]. He identified key resistance levels for XRP between $4 and $5 and warned that historical patterns often show a sell-off following similar divergences [2].

Another concern raised by Steph is the current level of XRP’s supply in profit, which sits above 95 percent. He noted that historically, such high profitability has coincided with local market tops, as traders begin to take profits [2]. Additionally, whale inflows—particularly to exchanges like Binance—have drawn attention, with one of the largest inflows recorded in recent months, following a similar pattern before a major correction in late 2024 [2].

In a broader market context, the Altcoin Season Index currently stands at 53, with historical data suggesting that corrections often follow once it reaches 75 [2]. Steph also noted the rising probability of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve, citing comments from Treasury Secretary Bessent and recent U.S. CPI data. While this could drive short-term buying ahead of the September rate decision, he warned that September historically has not been a strong month for crypto markets [2].

In a separate analysis, Ali Martinez identified a potential price target of $12.60 for XRP, based on a seven-year consolidation breakout and Fibonacci projections [1]. His analysis has gained attention due to his track record in identifying key turning points in crypto price action [1]. Other analysts, however, project more conservative targets, with XRP expected to reach $8 by 2026 and $10.40 by 2027 [3].

The XRP market has also experienced recent volatility, with a pullback following a major high in late 2024, attributed to profit-taking and broader crypto weakness [5]. Current technical levels show support at $3.13–$3.15 and resistance at $3.27–$3.31 [5]. Maintaining these levels will be critical for the continuation of a bullish trend.

Regulatory and on-chain factors continue to influence XRP’s price dynamics. The resolution of the Ripple-SEC legal case has created a more favorable environment, but ongoing token emissions and ETF-related uncertainties remain in play [5]. While BlackRock recently denied plans for an XRP ETF, other applications are still under review, with a high likelihood of approval by 2025 [5].

As the market continues to evolve, analysts remain divided on XRP’s trajectory. While some remain bullish on a potential move toward $12.60 or higher, others advocate a more cautious approach. The key will be how XRP navigates upcoming support and resistance levels, alongside broader macroeconomic and regulatory developments.

Sources:

[1] "Crypto analyst predicts XRP set to explode 400% after new..." (Yahoo Finance) https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypto-analyst-predicts-xrp-set-164900621.html

[2] "Analyst Changes His XRP Price Prediction Based on This ..." (Times) https://timestabloid.com/analyst-changes-his-xrp-price-prediction-based-on-this-signal/

[3] "Prediction: XRP (Ripple) Will Be Worth This Much in 3 Years" (The Motley Fool) https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/08/14/xrp-ripple-will-be-worth-this-much-in-3-years/

[4] "XRP surges 470% in a year — analyst says $12.60 target ..." (The Economic Times) https://m.economictimes.com/news/international/us/xrp-surges-470-in-a-year-analyst-says-12-60-target-now-within-reach/articleshow/123281177.cms

[5] "XRP Breaks 7-Year Consolidation Pattern Eyes $12.60 ..." (AInvest) https://www.ainvest.com/news/xrp-news-today-xrp-breaks-7-year-consolidation-pattern-eyes-12-60-target-2508/