XRP News Today: XRP Price Outlook Revised as Key Resistance and Profitability Signals Emerge

Crypto analyst Steph Is Crypto has revised his XRP price outlook based on emerging market signals that suggest the asset may be nearing key resistance levels. In a recent video, he analyzed XRP’s performance against Google search volume, noting a bearish divergence where prices reached new highs in August 2025 but search activity failed to replicate previous peaks observed in July 2024 [1]. He interpreted this as a sign that the current rally is likely driven by institutions, whales, and long-term holders, rather than retail investors. While this does not necessarily signal an imminent crash, Steph emphasized that such patterns have historically preceded major market tops [1].

Further, Steph examined XRP’s weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) alongside Bitcoin, pointing out that both assets have formed lower highs on the RSI despite achieving higher price levels since 2024. This, he explained, indicates weakening momentum and increasing vulnerability to sell-offs. He identified potential resistance for XRP between $4 and $5 and warned that repeated touches of the RSI trendline have often been followed by downward corrections [1].

Another key indicator reviewed by Steph was the percentage of XRP’s total supply currently in profit, which now exceeds 95 percent. He noted that historically, such high levels of profitability have aligned with market tops as selling pressure mounts from profit-takers. While XRP has previously held these levels without correction, any shift in market sentiment could trigger increased selling. Supporting this view, he referenced a recent large whale inflow of XRP to Binance—the second-largest in the asset’s history—following a similar move in December of the previous year, which preceded a multi-month correction [1].

On a broader scale, Steph assessed the Altcoin Season Index, which currently stands at 53, below the historical threshold of 75, where corrections tend to follow. He also considered macroeconomic factors, including comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent suggesting a potential 50 basis point Federal Reserve rate cut. With market expectations of such a move standing at 90 percent in September, Steph cautioned that while September has seen elevated expectations for a rally, it has not historically been a strong month for crypto markets [1].

In addition to XRP, Steph analyzed HBAR, noting that it has broken above the Gaussian channel on the weekly timeframe—a pattern he previously observed ahead of major price moves in 2021. He projected that HBAR could reach new all-time highs, potentially hitting $0.50 in the near term [1].

Despite these cautionary signals, Steph reiterated his view that XRP still holds upside potential. However, he emphasized the importance of monitoring resistance between $4 and $5.50 and staying alert to market cues that could indicate an impending correction [1].

Sources:

[1] https://timestabloid.com/analyst-changes-his-xrp-price-prediction-based-on-this-signal/