XRP News Today: XRP Price Outlook Brightens After SEC Settlement and Rare MVRV Signal

Generated by AI AgentCoin World
Saturday, Aug 9, 2025 10:28 am ET2min read
XRP
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Aime RobotAime Summary

- XRP price volatility follows SEC-Ripple settlement, with mixed short-term action after a 5% 24-hour drop to $3.20.

- A rare MVRV "golden cross" signal re-emerged, historically linked to 630% and 54% XRP gains, boosting bullish expectations.

- Key Fibonacci levels ($5.92, $8.87) and whale activity ($308M inflow to exchanges) highlight market uncertainty between short-term sellers and long-term buyers.

- Analysts project $11.61-$21.5+ targets if $3.28 support holds, but warn of potential bearish shifts below $3.26 amid regulatory updates on August 15.

The

XRP
price outlook has drawn increased scrutiny as traders and analysts assess key technical levels and broader market sentiment following the recent SEC-Ripple legal settlement. The removal of a long-standing regulatory overhang appears to have sparked renewed interest in the asset, though immediate price action has remained mixed. On August 9, XRP dropped 5% within 24 hours, falling from $3.34 to $3.20 before recovering to $3.30 [4]. Despite this short-term correction, the broader picture remains
bullish
for those monitoring Fibonacci retracement levels and on-chain activity.

A key event for XRP came with the emergence of an ultra-rare MVRV "golden cross," historically associated with major price surges. Analysts noted that the last two occurrences led to gains of 630% and 54% in XRP, respectively [1]. This signal has reappeared, raising expectations for a potential repeat of bullish momentum, especially with the SEC settlement removing a major bearish cloud.

From a technical standpoint, Fib levels are being closely watched. The Fib 0.5 level at 5.92% and the Fib 0.618 level at 8.87% are considered critical for unlocking higher targets [2]. A confirmed breakout above $5.92 could trigger further rallies, with some analysts suggesting a potential target of $11.61 in the current bull cycle [3]. More aggressive projections point to a possible move toward $21.5 or beyond [3]. However, these levels remain untested, and a failure to break above $3.28 could signal a bearish shift, potentially leading to a pullback toward $2.76 [5].

Whale activity has added to the uncertainty. On-chain data reveals that approximately 94 million XRP (around $308 million) flowed into exchanges in the last 24 hours, indicating possible selling pressure. Conversely, a large wallet accumulated 50 million XRP during the recent dip, suggesting some long-term confidence [3]. This mixed behavior highlights the ongoing tug-of-war between short-term traders and longer-term holders.

The technical picture has turned more cautious in recent sessions. XRP has slipped below the $3.26 support level, which now acts as resistance. A death cross formed on the 4-hour chart, with the 50 SMA crossing below the 200 SMA. While RSI remains at 53.08, indicating neutral momentum, the MACD histogram is slightly negative, reinforcing the bearish bias in the short term [3].

Looking ahead, a convincing move above $3.50 could signal a challenge to XRP’s all-time high. Analysts speculate that the price could head toward $6.00–$7.00 in the coming months [6]. However, some warn that the bull cycle may be nearing its final phase, with a potential blow-off phase ahead [7]. This uncertainty underscores the need for close monitoring of both price action and sentiment.

The August 15 update in the SEC-Ripple case and further regulatory filings, particularly from the Independent Community Bankers of America (ICBA), will likely play a pivotal role in shaping the next phase of XRP’s trajectory [3].

Sources:

[1] The Tradable – Could This Rare Signal Trigger a 630% Rally to $24? (https://thetradable.com/crypto/xrp-price-prediction-could-this-rare-signal-trigger-a-630-rally-to-24-1--v)

[2] Coindoo – XRP Price Outlook: Key Levels That Could Trigger the Next Rally (https://coindoo.com/market/xrp-price-outlook-key-levels-that-could-trigger-the-next-rally/)

[3] CryptoRank – Crypto Analyst Sets $11.61 “Ideal” Target for XRP in the … (https://cryptorank.io/news/feed/d819e-xrp-price-prediction-ideal-target-11-this-bull-cycle)

[4] CoinDesk – Ripple-SEC Settlement Rally Cools as XRP Drops 5% on ... (https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/08/09/ripple-sec-settlement-rally-cools-as-xrp-drops-5-on-profit-taking)

[5] CaptainAltcoin – XRP Price Prediction: Ripple's Legal Win Still Boosting ... (https://captainaltcoin.com/xrp-price-prediction-ripples-legal-win-still-boosting-sentiment/)

[6] CoinCentral – XRP and ETH Hold the Line, While BlockDAG's $0.0016 ... (https://coincentral.com/xrp-and-eth-hold-the-line-while-blockdags-0-0016-price-vanishes-in-48-hours-top-trending-crypto-heats-up/)

[7] Binance – Analyst Warns of Final Phase in XRP Bull Cycle. Here's ... (https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/28073390240937)