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XRP’s price trajectory appears to be following a familiar pattern, with technical indicators and rising ETF-related activity pointing to a potential 200% rally toward $9.63 by August 25, 2025 [1]. At the time of reporting,
was trading near $2.96, positioning the cryptocurrency within a symmetrical triangle formation—a consolidation pattern historically associated with significant breakouts. This pattern was observed in previous cycles from 2014–2017 and 2018–2023, during which XRP surged by over 800% and 300%, respectively [1].The current triangle setup is accompanied by increasing trading volumes and aligned Fibonacci extension targets that support a bullish continuation. Historical data shows that past breakouts from similar patterns were confirmed by rising volume and the fulfillment of Fibonacci targets, particularly at the 1.618 and 2.618 levels. These levels previously corresponded to price points around $1.72 and $3.13, with subsequent moves extending beyond those levels [1]. Analysts have noted that the current setup mirrors these historical conditions, suggesting a similar or even stronger move [1].
In addition to technical indicators, the growing institutional interest in XRP is being driven by ETF-related activity. Multiple firms have submitted applications for spot XRP ETFs, and market polling on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi indicates that approval odds are near 85% [1]. Reported inflows include a Teucrium XRP ETF attracting over $400 million and a ProShares XRP ETF raising over $100 million [1]. These inflows are seen as a catalyst for increased price discovery and liquidity-driven rallies, a pattern observed in previous cycles [1].
The role of ETFs in XRP’s price discovery mechanism is significant. Spot ETFs provide institutional investors with direct custody solutions and increased exposure to XRP, creating additional demand-side pressure. When combined with a confirmed technical breakout, this dynamic can accelerate price movements and reinforce bullish trends [1]. The current consolidation near $2.80–$3.10 is forming a new triangle pattern with a neutral RSI and lower volume, indicating that a measured breakout could follow if volume surges in the next phase [1].
Market observers emphasize the importance of monitoring volume, RSI, and ETF-related news to validate the breakout thesis. A successful breakout would likely see XRP reaching $3.20, with higher liquidity levels potentially pushing the price toward the $9.63 target. However, this outcome remains contingent on sustained ETF inflows and a volume-confirmed breakout [1].
According to the analyst’s forecast, if the current triangle resolves bullishly, Fibonacci and cycle analysis point to a potential 200% move to $9.63+ [1]. While market sentiment suggests a high probability of ETF approval—around 85%—investors are urged to track official regulatory filings for confirmation [1].
Source: [1] XRP Could Repeat Past Breakouts as ETF Demand and Volume Point to Possible 200% Rise Toward $9.63 (https://en.coinotag.com/xrp-could-repeat-past-breakouts-as-etf-demand-and-volume-point-to-possible-200-rise-toward-9-63/)

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