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XRP (XRP) is trading near $3.06 on July 25, 2025, following a sharp selloff that pushed the price below critical resistance levels. The token has retreated from a recent high of $3.63 after consecutive rejections at the Supertrend flip zone, signaling a shift in momentum toward sellers. Short-term technical indicators, including the Directional Movement Index (DMI) and Parabolic SAR, now favor bearish pressure, with the -DI at 39.55 leading over the +DI and the 4-hour chart showing a bearish flip below $3.42 [1]. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 1-hour chart stands at 39.83, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has turned negative, confirming weakening bullish strength.
The decline in XRP’s price is attributed to a combination of technical exhaustion and capital outflows. Blockchain data reveals net outflows from spot exchanges reached nearly $12 million as of July 25, indicating investors are withdrawing funds from the asset [1]. This aligns with broader market dynamics, including the EMA cluster on the 4-hour chart tilting downward, with
trading below key moving averages at $3.26 (20/50 EMA) and $3.07 (100 EMA). The 200 EMA at $2.80 remains a potential medium-term support level, though a bearish cross could form if downward pressure persists.Volatility metrics reinforce the bearish bias. Bollinger Bands have expanded on the 4-hour timeframe, with XRP trading below the median band ($3.31) and approaching the lower band at $2.96. This suggests the token is in a new volatility cycle favoring sellers. Meanwhile, the Parabolic SAR on the 30-minute chart has flipped bearish, with dots forming above price candles and the asset consistently trading below the session’s volume-weighted average price (VWAP) [1].
Critical price levels for short-term traders include the immediate support at $3.00–$3.04, a previously tested breakout zone now acting as a potential retest area. A failure to reclaim this level could trigger further downside toward $2.80, while a rebound above $3.17 (VWAP and SAR resistance) might shift near-term sentiment to $3.28 and $3.42 (Supertrend flip level). However, any upside attempts are likely to face rejection unless momentum indicators reverse and volume supports the move.
The short-term outlook hinges on the $3.00–$3.04 range. A bullish breakout with increased volume could present a temporary trading opportunity, but a breakdown below $3.00 would likely expose the $2.80 level, aligning with the 200 EMA and lower Bollinger Band. Traders are advised to monitor these thresholds, as failure to hold key support could accelerate liquidation pressures. Conversely, a sustained rebound above $3.17 might signal a retest of the $3.28–$3.42 resistance cluster, though confirmation would require a reversal in technical indicators.
Source: [1] [title1] [url1https://coinedition.com/xrp-price-prediction-for-july-25-2025-2/]

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