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The
price debate has intensified as the cryptocurrency's ecosystem navigates a pivotal moment with the launch of multiple spot ETFs and evolving market dynamics. While some analysts argue that ETF inflows alone cannot propel XRP to $100, others contend that the asset's utility-driven fundamentals and growing institutional adoption position it for a significant rebound.Moon, a prominent XRP analyst, recently challenged optimistic projections that ETFs would single-handedly drive XRP to triple-digit prices. He emphasized that even a $10 target would require more than just ETF-driven demand
. This stance contrasts with the broader market's enthusiasm following the debut of the first U.S. spot XRP ETFs, including the (XRP) and the Canary Capital XRP ETF (XRPC), which collectively attracted over $410 million in inflows within days of their November 13–20 launch window . Despite these inflows, XRP's price has struggled, trading at $1.89 as of late November - a 16% drop from its recent peak .
Institutional adoption appears to be a critical variable. Ripple's Swell 2025 conference in November 2025 highlighted $500 million in funding at a $40 billion valuation, alongside plans to scale its RLUSD stablecoin and on-chain lending platform
. These developments, coupled with the approval of 11 XRP ETFs on the DTCC list, suggest growing institutional confidence. However, historical patterns - where XRP has declined post-Swell events in four of the past five years - raise questions about whether the current rally will hold .Technical indicators also present a mixed picture. XRP has retested key support levels around $2, a former resistance during the 2021 bull cycle
. If the price breaks above $2.50, analysts cite potential for a parabolic rally. Yet bearish signals, including a looming death cross and weak on-chain metrics, persist .The regulatory landscape remains a wildcard. The SEC's approval of XRP ETFs in late 2025 followed the passage of the GENIUS Act, which provided clarity on payment-focused digital assets
. However, ongoing debates over SEC oversight and macroeconomic conditions could influence ETF performance and XRP's liquidity.While ETFs have yet to translate into immediate price gains, their long-term impact may manifest through increased institutional demand and tighter XRP liquidity. Franklin Templeton and Grayscale's upcoming XRP ETFs, expected to launch in late November 2025, could further diversify the product landscape
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