XRP News Today: XRP's October Make-or-Break Moment: ETFs Could Spark $4.40 Surge

Egrag Crypto has highlighted a potential breakout for XRP in October 2025, with technical indicators and regulatory catalysts aligning to support a bullish scenario. The cryptocurrency, currently trading near $2.99, has shown resilience against key support levels amid heightened institutional activity and speculative positioning ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve's anticipated rate cut on October 29 XRP Traders Eye Bullish Breakout Toward $3.10. Here's Why^[1]. Analysts note that XRP's price has been consolidating between $2.99 and $3.05, with repeated tests of the $2.99 floor reinforcing its significance as a support base XRP Traders Eye Bullish Breakout Toward $3.10. Here's Why^[1]. Whale distributions exceeding $300 million and increased spot-derivatives trading volume suggest accumulation is underway, potentially setting the stage for a sustained rally.

Technical analysis underscores a critical juncture for XRP. The price has formed a descending channel pattern, with resistance entrenched at $3.04–$3.05 and support validated at $2.99. A breakout above $3.05 could target $3.10, with further upside potential if the Fed's rate cut materializes XRP Traders Eye Bullish Breakout Toward $3.10. Here's Why^[1]. Egrag Crypto's recent analysis points to a Fibonacci 0.5 level at $3.13 as a pivotal threshold; a close above this level could trigger a move toward $4.40, while rejection may see a pullback to $2.65 or $2.40 . Historical parallels to the 2024 Q4 rally, which saw a 240% surge, add weight to the possibility of a similar move in late 2025 XRP Price Analysis: Could Q4 Send It to $5?^[3]. Additionally, the Network Value to Transaction (NVT) ratio has fallen to 108.56, indicating undervaluation relative to on-chain activity XRP Price Analysis: Could Q4 Send It to $5?^[3].

Regulatory developments further amplify October's significance. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) faces deadlines for six XRP ETF applications between October 18 and 25, 2025. A favorable ruling on the Grayscale or 21Shares XRP ETFs could inject institutional demand, accelerating price momentum How XRP Could React After October 2025 SEC ETF Decisions^[2]. Egrag Crypto projects that regulatory clarity could act as a catalyst, with the $3.10 target becoming more attainable if ETF approvals bolster market confidence XRP Traders Eye Bullish Breakout Toward $3.10. Here's Why^[1]. Concurrently, macroeconomic factors, including the Fed's policy shift, are expected to influence risk asset flows, potentially benefiting XRP's liquidity profile.

Institutional adoption is another driver. SBI Holdings, a Ripple partner, launched an XRP lending program in Japan, signaling growing enterprise use cases for the token . Meanwhile, Nasdaq-listed VivoPower International PLC recently raised $19 million to expand its XRP treasury, reflecting institutional interest in the asset as a strategic reserve . These developments, coupled with increased derivatives open interest, suggest XRP is gaining traction as both a speculative and utility asset.

Long-term forecasts from Egrag Crypto remain bullish, with a $27 price target by 2025 based on historical patterns and structural accumulation. The analyst emphasizes adherence to technical indicators, noting that XRP's charts mirror prior bullish cycles, including the 2017 and 2021 surges . While short-term volatility remains a risk, Egrag stresses that disciplined position management and focus on key Fibonacci levels could position investors to capitalize on the projected rally . The community is urged to avoid reacting to market noise, as the trajectory toward $27 hinges on sustained institutional adoption and favorable regulatory outcomes.