XRP News Today: XRP's October 2025 ETF Deadline Aligns with $4 Price Target as Supplies Dry Up


XRP Price Faces Critical October 2025 ETF Deadline as Analysts Forecast $5–$8 Billion Inflows
The XRPXRP-- market is poised for a pivotal period in October 2025, with multiple spot ETF applications under review by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Analysts predict that approvals could trigger a "supply shock," as institutional demand for XRP surges to back ETF shares. Current exchange inventories, particularly on CoinbaseCOIN--, have dwindled to near-historic lows, with holdings falling nearly 90% in recent months. Jake Claver of Coinpedia estimates that $5–$8 billion in inflows could materialize within the first 30 days of ETF approvals, far exceeding early BitcoinBTC-- ETF inflows. This surge would require institutions to purchase XRP directly from the market, potentially driving prices higher as retail holders-many of whom hold long-term-reluctantly sell at elevated levels[1].
Technical and Regulatory Catalysts Align for XRP Rally
XRP's price has shown signs of consolidation within a descending channel, mirroring patterns observed before prior rallies. The current price of $2.85–$2.90 sits near critical resistance levels, with Fibonacci extensions projecting a 35% rally to $4 by October's end[2]. The SEC's October deadlines for six XRP ETF applications-ranging from Grayscale to WisdomTree-align with this technical setup, creating a dual catalyst for price movement. For example, the Grayscale XRP ETF decision on October 18 and the 21Shares Core XRP Trust on October 19 could amplify institutional confidence, while the WisdomTreeWT-- ETF on October 25 may serve as a final trigger for broader adoption[2].
Supply Constraints and Institutional Demand Fuel Price OptimismOP--
Coinbase's XRP holdings have plummeted from 970 million tokens in June 2025 to just 99 million by mid-September, reflecting a 89.8% reduction[10]. This decline, coupled with Ripple's partnerships with banks and stablecoin projects, suggests growing institutional interest in XRP's utility. Analysts argue that shrinking exchange liquidity could force prices higher as demand outpaces available supply. Additionally, Ripple's ongoing collaborations with countries like Palau and Brazil for XRP-based digital currency pilots add to the asset's real-world utility, potentially attracting both retail and institutional capital[1].
Remittix Emerges as "XRP 2.0" in Cross-Border Payment Space
Amid XRP's regulatory and market developments, a new altcoin, Remittix (RTX), is gaining traction as a potential successor to XRP's role in cross-border transactions. Priced at $0.1130, Remittix has raised $26.9 million in its presale and launched a beta wallet enabling real-time crypto-to-fiat conversions across 30+ countries[5]. The project, dubbed "XRP 2.0" by analysts, leverages a hybrid consensus mechanism to facilitate near-instant, low-cost transfers-key features that XRP has historically capitalized on. With CertiK verification and planned listings on BitMart and LBank, Remittix aims to address gaps in XRP's adoption by offering direct banking integrations and a 15% referral program[6].
Market Sentiment and Risks Remain Mixed
While optimism surrounds XRP's ETF-driven potential, risks persist. Regulatory delays, structural constraints (e.g., ETFs relying on derivatives instead of spot purchases), and macroeconomic volatility could temper price gains. For example, if inflows fall short of expectations or if early ETF activity is diluted by hedging strategies, XRP could face a "buy the rumor, sell the news" scenario[3]. Similarly, Remittix's success hinges on execution, as its utility-driven model must compete with established players like XRP and EthereumETH--. Analysts caution that while XRP's market cap of $183 billion provides a strong foundation, the broader crypto market's sentiment will ultimately determine the trajectory of both assets.
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