XRP News Today: XRP Nears Bottom as Legal Clarity and On-Chain Signs Align

XRP has experienced a nearly 20% decline over the past 45 days, consolidating within a descending triangle pattern near the $2.70 support level. On-chain and futures data suggest a reduction in speculative exposure, as open interest has dropped from $11 billion to $7.5 billion during the same period. This shift indicates a potential stabilization in the market, with the token’s estimated leverage ratio on Binance resetting to its yearly average. This normalization reduces the likelihood of cascading liquidations and could support price stability during future corrections.

On-chain indicators also point to early accumulation signs. The net taker volume has moved closer to neutral, supported by an uptick in spot cumulative volume delta (CVD), which indicates a shift in dominance toward buyers. In futures positioning, aggregated futures CVD has steadily declined, while funding rates have normalized to quarterly levels, signaling that crowded positions have been largely cleared. This confluence of data points supports the idea that XRP may be nearing a price bottom.

Technical analysis further strengthens this outlook. On the daily chart, XRP remains within a descending triangle, with support near $2.70 serving as a key level to watch. A potential move below this level could drive the price into a fair value gap between $2.35 and $2.65, a zone historically associated with price stabilization and rebounds. This range aligns closely with Fibonacci retracement levels, enhancing the probability of a meaningful rebound. Additionally, fractal analysis suggests that XRP’s current market structure resembles a Q1 fractal pattern, which historically preceded sharp breakouts. If the pattern repeats, XRP could see gains of 60% to 85% in the fourth quarter.

Market sentiment for XRP has also been influenced by broader legal developments. Ripple’s ongoing battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission concluded in August 2025, with a mixed ruling that determined XRP sold on exchanges does not qualify as a security, while some institutional sales do. The XRP Army, a vocal group of retail investors, was acknowledged by Ripple’s legal team and the court as having played a meaningful role in the case outcome. This outcome has contributed to XRP’s price volatility, including a 72% surge following the 2023 ruling and a peak at $3.65 in July 2025 before settling back near $2.85.

Looking ahead, the potential movement of XRP and other altcoins like Solana (SOL) may be influenced by macroeconomic data, including upcoming U.S. payrolls reports. These reports often trigger significant volatility in financial markets, and crypto assets are no exception. Analysts have noted that XRP, SOL, and other altcoins could experience movements of around 4% as traders react to the data. The broader macroeconomic environment, including interest rate expectations and equity market performance, will also play a key role in shaping the near-term trajectory of the crypto markets.

In parallel, Bitcoin’s implied volatility has dropped to historically low levels, signaling a potential buildup of energy in the market. Low volatility environments often precede significant price swings, and traders are closely monitoring key support and resistance levels for signs of a breakout. This dynamic may also influence the performance of altcoins, as Bitcoin and smaller-cap cryptocurrencies often move in tandem during periods of macroeconomic uncertainty.

Source:

[1] XRP stuck in downtrend, but 3 data points forecast 85% ... (https://cointelegraph.com/news/xrp-downtrend-extends-but-data-predicts-85percent-bounce)

[2] Ripple-SEC News: 'XRP Army' Credited by Lawyers in ... (https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/09/04/xrp-army-credited-with-helping-ripple-tilt-case-against-sec)

[3] Bitcoin (BTC) Implied Volatility Remains Very Low ... (https://blockchain.news/flashnews/bitcoin-btc-implied-volatility-remains-very-low-flagging-potential-big-move-ahead)

[4] Crypto Rules in Europe vs. the US: Does Your Stablecoin ... (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypto-rules-europe-vs-us-184431208.html)

[5] Crypto Regulation in the USA, UAE and EU: A Full Comparison (https://irinauae.law/en/blog/crypto-regulation-usa-uae-eu)