XRP News Today: XRP at Inflection Point: ETF Inflows Clash with Bearish Tech and Macro Risks

XRP bulls are eyeing a potential holiday season breakout, with price targets ranging from $2.60 to $3.00, but technical and macroeconomic headwinds remain significant. Analysts highlight a mixed technical landscape, where oversold conditions and institutional inflows suggest short-term resilience, while broader market volatility and regulatory uncertainties cast shadows over longer-term prospects.

The token's recent 8% rebound has drawn attention to the $2.00 support level, a critical psychological barrier that has historically influenced trader behavior. In early 2025, XRP's repeated tests of this level triggered $500 million to $1.2 billion in weekly losses for holders, underscoring its emotional significance. While buyers have defended $2.00 multiple times this month, technical indicators like the RSI and MACD suggest caution. XRP's RSI has rebounded from oversold territory but remains below 50, signaling a bearish bias, while the MACD histogram has flipped below zero, reinforcing downward momentum.

Broader market dynamics add complexity. The crypto sector entered December 2025 on fragile footing, with Bitcoin and Ethereum dragging XRP lower amid macroeconomic fears and the Yearn Finance hack incident. A $9 million exploit at Yearn Finance, which drained liquidity by minting infinite yETH tokens, exacerbated sell-offs across the board. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan's hint at a potential rate hike introduced global market jitters, threatening to unwind carry trades and amplify volatility.

Institutional interest, however, offers a counterbalance. XRP has benefited from a surge in ETF inflows, with $643.91 million entering spot XRP ETFs over nine days-unlike the outflows seen for Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. New products from firms like Grayscale and Bitwise, coupled with upcoming CME futures, have positioned XRP as an increasingly viable asset for regulated institutional portfolios. Derivatives activity, including options expirations, favoring bullish positioning, has also added momentum, though open interest remains low ahead of key catalysts.

Price predictions diverge but share a common focus on $2.50–$2.60 as a pivotal resistance zone. Breaking this cluster could unlock a path to $2.80 and potentially $3.00, but sustained volume above 200 million daily and RSI above 60 are prerequisites. Conversely, a breakdown below $1.82 could trigger a deeper decline toward $1.25, a 43% drop from current levels. Analysts at Blockchain.News and AMB Crypto have aligned on $2.60–$2.70 as a mid-term target, citing convergence of moving averages and analyst consensus.

The road ahead hinges on macroeconomic clarity and regulatory developments. While Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations and ETF inflows support risk-on sentiment, XRP's path remains contingent on reclaiming key moving averages and sustaining bullish momentum. Traders are advised to monitor the $2.20–$2.25 range, where the 20-day moving average and Bollinger Band middle line intersect, as a critical inflection point https://finance.yahoo.com/news/xrp-death-cross-signal-why-144029401.html https://blockchain.news/news/20251128-price-prediction-target-xrp-260-270-by-december-with-potential.