XRP News Today: XRP Faces Potential Top in March or July 2025 Says Analyst

Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has released a detailed technical outlook for XRP, highlighting a pattern he refers to as the “Cracked Code” and suggesting a potential top for the digital asset in either March or July 2025. His analysis, published in a tweet accompanied by annotated RSI (Relative Strength Index) charts, emphasizes the recurrence of a specific two-peak formation that has preceded bear markets in previous XRP cycles.

The tweet begins with a warning not to assume conclusions without examining the data, underscoring that the entire analysis is rooted in historical RSI behavior. Egrag identifies two key peaks that represent turning points in XRP’s past market cycles. The first peak corresponds to an all-time high (ATH), marked by a major rally. This phase has historically driven XRP to extreme momentum levels. The second peak, according to Egrag, is shorter and weaker but serves as a signal of a cycle top, which typically ushers in a bearish reversal.

In his post, Egrag outlines that on two prior occasions, XRP’s RSI surged to a new high, dipped below the 14-period simple moving average (SMA), represented by a yellow line on the chart, and then rose again to form a second, lower peak before entering a bear market. He asserts that a similar pattern may be unfolding now. According to his chart, the RSI on December 2, 2024, formed the first major peak, which Egrag states is a higher high than the 2021 level. Based on this trajectory and referencing historical cycles, Egrag identifies March 2025 and July 2025 as potential candidates for the second RSI peak. He emphasizes that this second peak could indicate the end of XRP’s bullish phase, aligning with previous bear market transitions.

Egrag also calls attention to the 77 RSI level on the two-week timeframe. He marks this level as critical support and states that the RSI must not fall below this threshold if the current bullish setup is to remain valid. A successful test and bounce from this level, in his view, would confirm macro support and set the stage for another leg up. This RSI threshold serves as a key technical condition that could determine whether XRP continues upward or begins a downward trend. For Egrag, holding this line would validate the current market structure and signal a continuation of bullish momentum.

In a best-case scenario, Egrag projects that XRP could surpass both the December 2, 2024, RSI peak and even the one set on May 8, 2017. He labels this possibility the “ultra bullish scenario,” suggesting that such a move would solidify the second peak while keeping RSI momentum at elevated levels. While the post does not provide specific price targets, its focus is on momentum and cycle timing based on RSI performance. The analysis places a premium on macro indicators rather than short-term market movements.

Egrag ends his message with encouragement to the XRP community, reinforcing his commitment to sharing technical insights. He states that he will continue to provide free content and expresses solidarity with the XRP community, referring to it as his “family.” This analysis adds to ongoing speculation within the XRP market, with technical traders watching closely to see whether the RSI respects the key levels highlighted by Egrag. As of now, March and July 2025 stand as timeframes to watch for a possible macro top based on the RSI structure he has outlined.

According to the analysis, the RSI pattern identified by Egrag Crypto suggests that XRP could reach a significant top in either March or July 2025. This prediction is based on historical RSI behavior and the recurrence of a two-peak formation that has preceded bear markets in the past. The first peak, which corresponds to an all-time high, is marked by extreme momentum levels, while the second peak is shorter and weaker, signaling a cycle top and potential bearish reversal. Egrag emphasizes the importance of the 77 RSI level as critical support, stating that the RSI must not fall below this threshold for the current bullish setup to remain valid. A successful test and bounce from this level would confirm macro support and set the stage for another leg up. In an ultra bullish scenario, XRP could surpass both the December 2, 2024, RSI peak and the one set on May 8, 2017, solidifying the second peak while keeping RSI momentum at elevated levels. Egrag's analysis focuses on momentum and cycle timing based on RSI performance, placing a premium on macro indicators rather than short-term market movements. The XRP community is encouraged to watch these key levels closely, as they could determine the future trajectory of the digital asset.