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Historically, the month of June has been unfavorable for XRP, with average returns showing a decline. This trend has often led to bearish sentiment among investors during early summer. However, the crypto market sentiment for June 2025 is shifting, as analysts have identified three major developments that could reverse this historical trend and potentially trigger a significant rally in XRP’s price.
A key catalyst for XRP in June is the anticipated ruling by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Franklin Templeton’s proposed Spot XRP ETF. The decision is expected by June 17. If approved, the ETF would enable institutional and retail investors to gain direct exposure to XRP via traditional financial platforms, bypassing the need for cryptocurrency wallets. Prominent crypto analyst Cekky Crypto argues that this event could mirror the impact of Bitcoin’s ETF approval in early 2024. According to him, if approved, institutional investors and retail traders would be able to buy real XRP through traditional brokerage apps — no crypto wallet needed. He draws parallels to the momentum Bitcoin experienced, noting that its ETF debut aided it to break past the $100,000 level. Cekky sees a similar trajectory potentially forming for XRP.
Another significant event occurring mid-June is the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, scheduled for June 17–18. Expectations are growing that the Fed may implement a modest rate cut, possibly around 25 basis points. Such a move would mark the first dovish policy shift in months and could spark renewed investor interest in risk-oriented markets, including altcoins. Historically, rate cuts have bolstered capital inflows into both technology stocks and cryptocurrencies. Cekky believes XRP could benefit from this environment, emphasizing that broad-based rallies in digital assets often follow easier monetary conditions.
A third bullish indicator is the recent pattern of accumulation observed at the $1.90 range. On-chain metrics suggest that large XRP holders—commonly referred to as “whales”—have been quietly increasing their positions, likely in anticipation of upcoming market catalysts. Cekky highlights this as a noteworthy signal, stating that while there are still risks such as a potential delay in ETF approval or a hawkish Fed decision, “the risk-reward is heavily skewed in favor of bulls.” He adds that this may be “the last calm before the XRP storm,” signaling confidence in the possibility of a major price breakout.
While June has traditionally delivered poor returns for XRP holders, the alignment of these three developments could mark a turning point. The outcome of the ETF decision, the Federal Reserve’s monetary stance, and increasing whale activity all present strong arguments for a potential rally. Cekky’s strategy involves accumulating between $1.90 and $2.10, leaving room for volatility, and preparing for what he believes could be a 5x surge if favorable conditions align. If market momentum builds around these anticipated events, June 2025 may be remembered not for its past weakness but as the month XRP reversed the trend and moved decisively higher.

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