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XRP is currently experiencing a significant downtrend, with its price action showing a broader decline from its recent high of $2.656. The token has found a local bottom near the $2.05β$2.10 range, but the overall market sentiment remains bearish. The downtrend is further supported by the steady open interest in XRP futures, which stands at $3.83 billion, indicating a lack of significant buying pressure.
The current price action of XRP is struggling to show any signs of a sustained reversal, with key support levels under significant pressure. The token is oscillating between $2 and $2.65, indicating buying near the support and selling close to the resistance. The ongoing downtrend, originating from the $2.65 peak, remains in full force, with the price action failing to break above critical resistance levels.
The hourly chart indicates a short-term recovery trend for XRP, marked by a pattern of upper lows and sustained accumulation. However, the four-hour chart shows a sharp drop from $2.33 to $2.08 earlier in the week, accompanied by a significant spike in trading volume, implying strong bearish pressure. The daily chart shows a broader downtrend from its recent high at $2.656, with a local bottom around $2.05β$2.10. There has been a weak bounce since then, but no bullish reversal has been confirmed yet.
The oscillator data gives a mixed outlook, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 44.17, signaling neutral momentum. The Stochastic Oscillator at 33.03 and the Commodity
Index (CCI) at -65.81 support the neutral stance. The Average Directional Index (ADX) at 17.73 reflects a weak trend, while the Awesome Oscillator at -0.09626 is also neutral. The Momentum at 0.07083 is the only indicator giving a bullish signal, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) at -0.02835 confirms the bearish bias, suggesting negative sentiment.Moving averages are predominantly bearish across the board, with both the 10-period exponential moving average (EMA) at $2.19963 and the simple moving average (SMA) at $2.21529 showing a bearish bias. This bias is echoed by the 20-, 30-, 50-, and 100-period EMAs and SMAs, all of which remain above the current price, adding to the downward momentum. The 200-period EMA at $2.09282 offers the only bullish signal, implying a long-term floor, while the 200-period SMA at $2.37713 continues to reflect bearish positioning. This broad alignment of moving averages with selling pressure confirms the overall downtrend in the price trajectory of XRP.
XRP is currently facing significant market skepticism as analysts predict a potential 40% crash in the XRP/ETH trading pair. This projection arises from an observed bearish pattern amidst increased analysis on various trading forums. Market observers suggest that the potential downturn in the XRP/ETH ratio could indicate a structural shift, impacting broader market sentiment. This speculation adds pressure amidst Ripple's ongoing efforts to stabilize its cryptocurrency offering.
The XRP/ETH ratio's bearish trend is largely attributed to chart patterns rather than statements from Ripple executives. Brad Garlinghouse and David Schwartz have yet to publicly address market concerns related to this specific price movement. The immediate market impact sees XRP underperforming against ETH, as the latter shows resilience. Increased activity from XRP whale accounts suggests possible market repositioning but lacks official company acknowledgment of strategic changes.
Financial and trading implications include potential liquidity shifts and valuation adjustments. Critics argue that without a positive catalyst, such as regulatory success or new partnerships, XRP may continue struggling against major cryptocurrencies like ETH and BTC. Although key opinions from figures like Vitalik Buterin and
are not recorded, historical trends indicate that such market dips generally reverse with positive developments from Ripple or regulatory clarity. Current data, however, shows no emergency measures or liquidity distress on Ripple's part.
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