XRP News Today: XRP Eyes 60-85% Rally in Q4 If Key Fractal Pattern Fulfills

XRP’s potential for a significant fourth-quarter rally is being closely scrutinized by traders and analysts, who point to the fulfillment of a recurring fractal pattern as a key condition for a bullish breakout. As of August 19, XRP closed below the $3 level, extending a two-week downward correction. However, this move has coincided with a pattern previously observed in early 2025, when the asset surged to $3.40 before correcting to $1.60 by April. A similar setup is currently in place, with a fair value gap (FVG) forming between $2.32 and $2.66 on the daily chart [1]. If this imbalance is resolved through a price fill, it could catalyze a renewed bullish phase.

The fractal pattern is particularly significant because it has historically led to upward price expansion. In prior instances, XRP’s price found support after tapping into liquidity concentrated in these FVG zones. The current chart suggests a comparable scenario, with the potential for a breakout rally if the price retests and confirms this range. Analysts estimate that a successful fill of the FVG could lead to a 60–85% increase in XRP’s value by the end of the year, potentially pushing the price toward $4.35 or even $4.85, contingent on macroeconomic factors such as U.S. interest rate cuts [1].

A critical threshold for this bullish case is the $3.85 level. Breaking above this price would signal a shift into a new phase of price discovery and validate the long-term optimism surrounding XRP’s Q4 trajectory. On-chain data also reveals that whale activity remains a key indicator. Large XRP holders have been reducing their positions recently, but this selling pressure appears to be nearing exhaustion. Whale flows over the 90-day moving average suggest a peak in distribution, and a reaccumulation phase could begin if the price dips into the $2.65–$2.33 range [1].

Despite the potential for a Q4 rally, near-term volatility remains a factor. Short-term bearish momentum may persist as the market tests lower levels, but the broader technical structure remains constructive. Historical whale accumulation patterns from H2 2024 indicate that a similar reaccumulation phase may be unfolding, which could support a follow-through rally if the fractal pattern plays out as expected.

The key to unlocking XRP’s next move lies in the fulfillment of this technical condition. If the price action aligns with historical precedent, the stage could be set for a substantial upward move into the end of the year.

Source: [1] XRP Q4 moonshot depends on one key chart condition (https://cointelegraph.com/news/xrp-q4-moonshot-depends-on-one-key-chart-condition)