XRP News Today: XRP Eyes $34 Breakout as Double-Bottom Completes and ETF Hopes Rise

Generated by AI AgentCoin World
Tuesday, Aug 12, 2025 7:07 am ET2min read
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- XRP's seven-year double-bottom pattern completion suggests a potential $34 price target, per analyst Gert van Lagen's Fibonacci extension analysis.

- Post-SEC lawsuit dismissal, XRP ETF approval odds rose to 95% on Polymarket, with Canary Capital predicting $5B in first-month inflows.

- XRP's unique yield structure and cross-border payment dominance position its ETF to outperform ETH ETFs by avoiding staking income trade-offs.

- Canary Capital's proprietary index-based XRP ETF strategy aims to enhance tracking accuracy beyond traditional benchmarks like CME.

XRP is drawing renewed attention as technical analysts and market observers highlight a potential upward trajectory following the completion of a seven-year double-bottom pattern. Macro strategist Gert van Lagen notes that XRPXRPI-- has retested this key reversal formation and is now positioned for a potential breakout [1]. Using Fibonacci extensions, van Lagen identifies $34 as a primary price target based on the 2.00 extension level of the pattern. This development marks a structural turning point after a prolonged period of consolidation, suggesting that a move toward $34 could be a conservative estimate if bullish momentum continues [1].

Van Lagen’s analysis aligns with previous bullish forecasts, such as the recent $23 target tied to the Valhalla Gate upgrade, reinforcing the narrative that XRP is entering a new phase of growth. The current price of $3.12 leaves ample room for appreciation, particularly if the pattern’s historical precedent—similar to the 2017 breakout—plays out [1].

Meanwhile, the potential launch of XRP ETFs has sparked optimism among investors and institutional players. Steven McClurg, CEO of Canary Capital, predicts that XRP ETFs could outperform EthereumETH-- (ETH) ETFs upon their market debut. This forecast gains momentum following the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) dismissal of its lawsuit against RippleXRP--, which had long clouded XRP’s regulatory status [1]. The legal clarity has shifted investor sentiment, with Polymarket now assigning an 88% probability to an XRP ETF approval in 2025, up from 53% the previous week. Bloomberg analysts have raised this to approximately 95% [1].

McClurg attributes the potential ETF dominance to XRP’s unique yield structure. Unlike Ethereum, which offers staking rewards of 2–3% to holders, XRP does not provide such returns. However, this absence could be a strategic advantage for XRP ETFs, as investors won’t forgo potential staking income when investing through the fund [1]. In contrast, ETH holders already benefit from direct staking rewards, which may make ETH ETFs less appealing.

XRP’s position as a leader in blockchain-based financial services—particularly in cross-border payments and institutional settlements—further strengthens its case for ETF success. McClurg likens XRP’s role in payments to Bitcoin’s role as a store of value, suggesting that the asset’s market dominance could translate into strong demand for its ETF products [1]. The XRP community’s loyalty and engagement also position the asset to attract substantial retail and institutional interest. Canary Capital anticipates up to $5 billion in inflows for an XRP ETF within its first month, potentially exceeding early ETH ETF performance [1].

Canary Capital is preparing to launch its XRP ETF using proprietary indices for more accurate tracking, moving beyond traditional benchmarks like those from the CME [1]. This approach could offer greater precision and transparency, enhancing the appeal of the product for investors.

With regulatory hurdles diminishing and a robust technical setup in place, XRP is primed for a potential breakout. The convergence of structural, regulatory, and market-driven factors positions XRP not only for a move toward $34, but also for a broader repositioning in the cryptocurrency asset class.

Source: [1] From Double-Bottom to Moonshot: XRP Targets $34 as ETFs Gear Up to Outshine Ethereum (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/articles/689b1e83be4ae366a78a08bb/)

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