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The rapid inflows into
exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have ignited a contentious debate about the token's price trajectory, as institutional adoption clashes with persistent volatility. Grayscale's and Franklin Templeton's debuted with $164 million in net inflows on their first trading day, across four U.S. products. This surge underscores XRP's growing acceptance as a regulated asset, with Franklin Templeton's 0.2% fee-waived until May 2026 for the first $5 billion-positioning it among the lowest-cost options globally. However, the token's price has oscillated sharply, after a 7% drop to $2.05 earlier in the week, reflecting the tug-of-war between institutional demand and short-term selling pressures.Technical indicators highlight the market's fragility. XRP's breakdown below $2.16 on December 1 confirmed institutional exit flows, with volume spiking to 309.2 million-over 4.6 times the rolling average-suggesting large-scale withdrawals
. While ETF inflows have reduced exchange-held supply by 45% over 60 days, signaling accumulation, the token's price remains trapped in a descending channel defined by consecutive lower highs. Analysts warn that further losses below $2.05 could expose the $1.80–$1.87 support zone, .The ETF-driven narrative contrasts with broader crypto outflows.
in net inflows during their first month, faced $151 million in outflows, creating a divergence in institutional interest. This trend is attributed to XRP's real-world utility in cross-border settlements, particularly in Asia, which differentiates it from Bitcoin's speculative appeal . Franklin Templeton and Grayscale's ETFs now hold over 0.5% of XRP's circulating supply, .Price predictions remain split. Optimists cite XRP's 5% rebound to $2.25 following the November 24 ETF launches,
. Analysts like Mikybull Crypto have labeled the trend "very bullish," projecting a potential move to $2.60 if buyers defend the $2.00 support level . Conversely, bearish scenarios warn of further declines to $1.80 if liquidity continues to thin and selling pressure intensifies .The market's next catalysts include 21Shares' upcoming XRP ETF launch and regulatory clarity for additional asset managers. With XRP's market cap at $135 billion and ETF assets capturing 0.5% of that, the token's institutional narrative is still in its infancy. However, the interplay between ETF-driven demand and technical breakdowns will likely dictate whether XRP consolidates its position as the fourth-largest cryptocurrency or faces renewed bearish momentum.
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