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XRP's price trajectory has entered a critical juncture as the token approaches a pivotal monthly close, with institutional demand for
exchange-traded funds (ETFs) surging despite persistent market volatility. Data from SoSoValue reveals that XRP ETFs recorded $643.92 million in net inflows during their debut month, capturing 0.50% of XRP's market capitalization. This momentum has been driven by major issuers including Grayscale, Franklin Templeton, Bitwise, and Canary, of the total circulating supply, signaling early institutional interest. The inflows have coincided with a broader shift in institutional behavior, , who noted daily net inflows of $164 million and total assets exceeding $628 million, underscoring rapid adoption.However, XRP's price action has remained mixed, with the token trading near $2.20 despite historic ETF inflows. A recent $164 million opening-day launch for Franklin Templeton's
and Grayscale's GXRP failed to translate into sustained price strength, as derivatives markets recorded a 1.7 billion drop in open interest on Binance. , with massive offloads of 180 million XRP tokens reported, exacerbating short-term selling pressure.
Market observers are closely monitoring XRP's performance against critical thresholds. A monthly close above $2.60 would place the token above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, signaling bullish momentum, while a break above $3.40 could indicate a structural breakout. Conversely, a close below the 21-month EMA poses risks to long-term support, potentially undermining confidence.
, noting that institutional inflows must counterbalance recent whale distributions and derivatives leverage breakdowns to sustain a bullish case.The upcoming launch of 21Shares' XRP ETF adds another layer of uncertainty. With $666 million in institutional investments already flowing into the asset, the new product could inject liquidity into a market still grappling with volatility. However, traders remain wary of conflicting signals: while ETF inflows suggest growing institutional confidence, technical indicators such as the RSI and MACD remain neutral, hinting at a potential consolidation phase.
As XRP approaches its monthly close, the interplay between institutional demand and market fundamentals will shape its trajectory. Sustained inflows and a successful ETF rollout could bolster the token's position in regulated markets, but any breakdown in critical support levels may trigger a reevaluation of its broader adoption potential.
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