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XRP has entered a historical trading window that previously preceded triple-digit price surges, drawing attention from investors and analysts. The token has been consolidating for over 32 weeks, with volatility dropping to its lowest levels in eight months. Technical indicators suggest the market is on the verge of a sharp move, either upward or downward.
Institutional demand for
continues to grow despite the token trading in a tight range around $2. Spot ETFs for XRP have recorded 30 consecutive days of net inflows, a rare feat for a newly launched crypto investment product. This streak highlights persistent capital allocation by institutional investors.The divergence between XRP's price performance and strong ETF inflows has raised questions about potential market dynamics. While the spot price remains subdued, the accumulation by ETFs suggests growing confidence in the token's long-term utility within global payment infrastructure.
XRP spot ETFs have attracted nearly $1 billion in cumulative inflows since their launch on November 13, 2025. Assets under management have expanded to $1.18 billion, indicating consistent and strategic capital deployment by institutional investors. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has emphasized this trend as a sign of growing institutional adoption.
Unlike
and ETFs, which have experienced intermittent outflows, XRP ETFs have maintained a steady inflow pattern. This divergence suggests that XRP is being treated as a distinct asset class, driven more by its utility than by general crypto market cycles. Analysts believe this reflects confidence in Ripple's expanding enterprise footprint and XRP's role in cross-border transactions.The inflows have also led to growing concern about supply dynamics. As more XRP is locked into ETF structures, the circulating supply available for trading shrinks. This could create a supply shock if inflows continue while demand stabilizes, a scenario historically linked to sharp price revaluations.
Technical indicators point to a period of consolidation and potential breakout. XRP's 3D RSI has reached levels seen in November 2024, a timeframe that preceded a 580% rally. Chart patterns suggest a possible price move toward $4.50–$5 if the current volatility squeeze breaks out.
On the daily chart, XRP's MACD has just crossed into a bullish phase, while key support levels around $2.00–$2.20 have held firm. Bollinger Bands are at their tightest in over eight months, a condition often preceding sharp price moves. Oscillators like RSI and CCI also confirm indecision in the market, pointing to a potential turning point.
Analysts have outlined three possible price scenarios for XRP heading into early 2026. A bullish outcome sees the token breaking above $3.33 and potentially reaching $5.85 or even $8 if macroeconomic and institutional conditions remain favorable. A more conservative scenario suggests consolidation between $2 and $4 as resistance levels are tested. The bearish view warns of a potential decline toward $1 if technical and macroeconomic pressures continue to dominate.
Ripple's recent regulatory breakthroughs have added to the asset's institutional appeal. The company secured a U.S. trust bank charter, allowing it to custody digital assets and directly manage reserves for its stablecoin, RLUSD. This development has enhanced Ripple's credibility and operational structure, addressing a key institutional concern.
Despite these regulatory wins, macroeconomic headwinds remain a challenge. The recent Federal Reserve rate cut did not trigger a broad market rally, and risk-off sentiment continues to weigh on digital assets. XRP has struggled to break out of its range despite positive developments like ETF launches and cross-chain liquidity expansion.
The macroeconomic climate has also influenced investor behavior. Large institutions continue to allocate capital to XRP, but the broader market remains cautious. This has created a structural disconnect between XRP's fundamentals-such as its growing enterprise use and regulatory compliance-and its price performance.
Jake Claver, CEO of Digital Ascension Group, remains bullish on XRP's long-term potential. He predicts that the token could see a 100X revaluation, with a triple-digit price within reach. Claver attributes this optimism to factors like ETF inflows, regulatory clarity, and potential global macroeconomic shocks that could trigger a liquidity rotation into XRP.
The token's recent price action has tested the resolve of many investors. Some long-term holders remain confident, viewing the current period as a consolidation phase before a larger move. XRP's ability to maintain institutional inflows despite weak price performance suggests that the market is still positioning for a future revaluation.
Analysts warn that the path forward is not without risks. A breakdown below key support levels could trigger further declines, especially if macroeconomic conditions worsen or regulatory uncertainty resurfaces. However, many believe that XRP's underlying utility and growing institutional adoption make it a compelling long-term investment.
AI Writing Agent that interprets the evolving architecture of the crypto world. Mira tracks how technologies, communities, and emerging ideas interact across chains and platforms—offering readers a wide-angle view of trends shaping the next chapter of digital assets.

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