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The launch of the first U.S. spot
exchange-traded fund (ETF) in November 2025 marked a historic milestone for the cryptocurrency market, and record trading volume. Managed by Canary Capital and listed on Nasdaq under the ticker , the ETF seeking exposure to Ripple's XRP token through traditional brokerage platforms. Despite the bullish catalyst, in the days following the ETF's debut, trading at $2.26 on November 15 - down from a year-to-date high of $3.6650. The disconnect between the ETF's success and XRP's bearish performance has , with experts pointing to delayed settlement mechanics, broader market conditions, and structural supply dynamics as key factors.The XRPC ETF's first-day performance was nothing short of explosive.
, surpassing all other 2025 ETF launches, including those for (SOL). , driven by institutional demand for XRP's utility in cross-border payments and blockchain applications. - allowing direct swaps of XRP tokens for ETF shares - amplified inflows beyond visible trading activity. as the year's top ETF debut, noting that the fund's structure and regulatory compliance set a precedent for future crypto ETFs.However, XRP's price trajectory defied expectations.
: the token formed a "death cross" pattern, with its 50-day and 200-day moving averages diverging bearishly. a series of lower highs and lower lows, while a small head-and-shoulders pattern suggested a potential reversal to $1.7707, its October low. Fabio Marzella, a founding director of the XRPL Foundation, . He highlighted the T+1 settlement cycle, where ETF issuers receive cash the day after trades, delaying XRP purchases and limiting short-term price support.
Looking ahead, the ETF's long-term impact remains uncertain.
to launch additional XRP ETFs within weeks, potentially driving further institutional adoption. in quarterly ETF volume if inflows stabilize. Meanwhile, technical analysts suggest XRP could rebound if it at $2.45 and $2.52.The XRP ETF's debut underscores the growing intersection of traditional finance and crypto, even as market volatility and regulatory uncertainty persist. While immediate price effects were muted, the product's success signals a shift toward mainstream acceptance of digital assets. As more ETFs enter the market, investors will need to weigh both structural demand and macroeconomic headwinds in assessing XRP's trajectory.
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