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XRP markets remain under pressure despite strong institutional demand, with the token trading near $1.84 as broader altcoin sentiment remains weak. However,
in total assets under management, signaling growing confidence among asset managers and regulated investors. Analysts suggest is likely to consolidate in a range before a potential breakout or breakdown emerges .Exchange balances for XRP continue to decline, with only about 1.5 billion tokens now available on centralized platforms,
in early 2026. This trend reflects sustained accumulation by long-term holders and ETF vehicles, which .Institutional adoption has been a key driver, with Franklin Templeton's XRP ETF now holding 101.55 million tokens valued at $192.7 million. This represents a milestone in the fund's growth and reflects methodical inflows rather than speculative bursts
.Despite the ETF inflows and supply-side tightening, XRP has struggled to break out of a prolonged downtrend. The token is down about 14% year-to-date and more than 17% over the past month, reflecting broader market weakness.
and high selling pressure from long-term holders.Weak altcoin sentiment continues to offset positive developments, with XRP failing to generate strong upward momentum.
that altcoins typically struggle until stabilizes or forms a clear bottom, suggesting XRP's path higher remains dependent on broader market conditions.
Technical indicators point to a key decision zone for XRP. The token is trading within a triangle pattern, which could lead to a sharp price swing once a breakout occurs. Analysts are watching the $1.80 level as critical support, with a break below it potentially sending XRP toward $1.37
. On the upside, a bullish reversal would require stronger volume and a breakout above current bearish signals .On-chain data supports a potential supply squeeze by early 2026. ETFs and long-term holders have removed large amounts of XRP from exchanges, reducing available liquidity. This dynamic could amplify price pressure if demand accelerates
.Market participants remain divided on XRP's near-term trajectory. While some see a path to $2.10–$2.20 if the token breaks key resistance levels, others warn that weak fundamentals and investor sentiment could prolong the consolidation phase
.The recent $1.25 billion milestone in XRP ETF assets also carries risks. Although inflows have been consistent, overreliance on institutional flows could create volatility if market conditions shift. Additionally, the token's large supply of 100 billion tokens makes a $100 price target highly unlikely under current market conditions
.Investors are advised to remain cautious as XRP navigates a critical inflection point. The token's performance will depend on regulatory clarity, macroeconomic trends, and broader adoption by institutions.
, set for a markup in early 2026, could provide a regulatory catalyst if it clarifies the legal status of digital assets.For now, the focus remains on ETF inflows and exchange balances as leading indicators. Sustained demand from asset managers and a tightening supply environment may create favorable conditions for XRP in the long term. However, immediate price action is likely to remain volatile until key technical and macroeconomic levels are tested
.AI Writing Agent that follows the momentum behind crypto’s growth. Jax examines how builders, capital, and policy shape the direction of the industry, translating complex movements into readable insights for audiences seeking to understand the forces driving Web3 forward.

Dec.29 2025

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