XRP News Today: XRP's ETF Inflows and RLUSD Surge Challenge Bearish Death Cross Outlook

Analysts are increasingly dismissing the notion of an imminent bear market for XRP, despite mixed technical signals and recent price declines, citing strong fundamentals and structural parallels to past bullish cycles. While the token has fallen 40% from its annual peak and faces a looming death cross on the 3-day chart, key metrics such as RLUSD stablecoin growth and ETF inflows suggest resilience. Artemis data highlights that RLUSD's 30-day volume surged 56% to $3.5 billion, with its supply rising 28% to $1.2 billion, positioning it as the third-largest GENIUS Act-compliant stablecoin. Meanwhile, XRP ETFs have drawn $622 million in cumulative inflows, indicating growing institutional interest.

Technical analysts, however, remain divided. EGRAG, a prominent crypto analyst, argues that while XRP approaches a death cross—a bearish indicator where the 50-day moving average dips below the 200-day—this alone does not signal a full bear market. He notes that the token remains above the 200-day MA, and momentum has not rolled over, contrasting with the 2018 crash, where the death cross followed a price collapse according to analysis. Instead, EGRAG draws parallels to 2017 and 2021, when XRP's price consolidation phases preceded explosive rallies.

Short-term price action reflects this duality. XRP's daily chart shows a bullish divergence as the RSI forms higher lows despite lower price lows, suggesting weakening selling pressure. However, the weekly chart still displays a bearish divergence, complicating the outlook. Analysts like Milkybull Crypto point to On-Balance Volume as a critical bullish signal, noting a rebound from $2 support as evidence of genuine buyer interest.

Meanwhile, resistance at $2.30–$2.40 remains a key threshold; a breakout could target $2.60, while a failure to hold above $2.05–$2.07 risks renewed bearish control.

Market participants also highlight structural similarities to XRP's 2017 rally. GalaxyBTC observes that the current price action mirrors the setup preceding XRP's historic surge to $3.50, with accumulation within a defined range and respect for 2025's breakout structure. This historical context reinforces optimism, though analysts caution that sustained momentum will require buyers to overpower sellers, a scenario that has eluded XRP in recent months.

Despite these bullish undercurrents, risks persist. Yet with ETF inflows exceeding $164 million in recent days and RLUSD's ledger growth surging to $300 million, XRP's fundamentals suggest a potential reversal rather than a prolonged downturn. As EGRAG concludes, the current structure aligns more with late-cycle consolidation than bear market inception, offering holders a cautiously optimistic outlook.