XRP News Today: XRP ETF Hype Meets 87% Approval Odds—Could This Be the Catalyst for a $50 Surge?

With 15 spot XRP ETF applications currently under review by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the likelihood of regulatory approval has significantly increased, with market sentiment shifting toward optimism. As of late 2025, the probability of approval stands at 87% on Polymarket, a sharp rise from earlier in the year [1]. Nate Geraci, co-founder of the ETF Institute, believes the actual chances may be even closer to 100% [2]. This surge in optimism is fueled by the SEC’s evolving stance toward crypto, marked by the dismissal of its long-standing case against Ripple and the recent leadership changes at the agency [1].

The approval of spot XRP ETFs is seen as a pivotal development for the asset, potentially unlocking widespread institutional and retail adoption. Analysts predict that such ETFs could facilitate a liquidity surge similar to that seen with Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) ETFs. Nate Geraci emphasizes that investor demand for XRP is being severely underestimated, particularly in the context of broader financial product innovation and the asset’s position as the third-largest non-stablecoin by market capitalization [2]. AI tools such as ChatGPT, Grok, and Gemini have also weighed in, forecasting potential price movements if approvals materialize. Conservative estimates suggest XRP could reach $4–$5, while more bullish scenarios project the price climbing to $10 or even $15, depending on macroeconomic factors and market sentiment [1].

In addition to price forecasts, industry insiders are projecting substantial inflows into XRP ETFs. Canary Capital CEO Steve McClurg anticipates over $5 billion in inflows within the first month of trading [2]. Similarly, JPMorgan analysts have forecasted up to $8 billion in inflows during the first year. These figures highlight the potential scale of demand and the broader implications for market liquidity. Existing leveraged XRP ETFs, such as those issued by Teucrium, have already demonstrated strong investor interest, accumulating over $353 million in net assets [2]. Such performance provides a benchmark for what a regulated, spot-based XRP ETF could achieve upon approval.

The potential approval of XRP ETFs also aligns with broader institutional infrastructure developments. Futures markets for XRP have already expanded, with both CME and Coinbase Derivatives launching regulated XRP futures earlier in 2025 [3]. These instruments create liquidity channels that complement potential ETF offerings, enabling institutional investors to engage with the asset within a familiar regulatory framework. Pumpius, a veteran Bitcoin investor, argues that the convergence of futures, ETFs, and a thin effective free float could drive extreme price elasticity if large-scale inflows occur [3]. In his view, the mechanics of supply and demand could lead to a rapid appreciation, potentially taking XRP to $50 by the end of 2025 under the right conditions.

Market technicals further suggest XRP could be poised for a rebound, with the asset forming a falling wedge pattern and settling at a key pivot level according to the Murrey Math Lines tool [4]. The confluence of these technical indicators with the impending ETF approvals adds to the case for a near-term price surge. However, investors should be mindful of the risks, including the possibility of a “buy the rumor, sell the news” scenario where traders take profits ahead of actual approvals. Additionally, macroeconomic headwinds such as U.S. tariff policies and broader economic weakness could limit the upside potential, despite the asset’s strong historical performance during previous bullish cycles [5].

Source: [1] How High Will XRP's Price Go if All Ripple ETFs Are Approved in 2025? 3 AIs Give Big Predictions (https://cryptopotato.com/how-high-will-xrps-price-go-if-all-ripple-etfs-are-approved-in-2025-3-ais-give-big-predictions/) [2] XRP ETF approval seen to unlock $5bn bonanza, but 'people ... (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/xrp-etf-approval-seen-unlock-121250497.html) [3] Expert Says XRP to $50 by December 2025 Is a Matter of “ ... (https://thecryptobasic.com/2025/09/06/expert-says-xrp-to-50-by-december-2025-is-a-matter-of-math-market-structure-heres-why/) [4] XRP price Murrey Math Lines indicate surge ahead of ETF ... (https://crypto.news/xrp-price-murrey-math-lines-surge-ahead-etf-approvals/) [5] Prediction: XRP Could See Its Price Rising Again by Oct. 18 (https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/09/05/prediction-xrp-could-see-its-price-rising-again-by/)