XRP News Today: XRP ETF Hype or Hope? Market Bets $15 Price Target on October Deadline

The approval of spot XRP ETFs has gained significant momentum, with the odds of regulatory clearance rising sharply amid growing institutional interest and market speculation. As of late September 2025, prediction markets like Polymarket indicate an 87% chance of approval by year-end, with industry experts like Nate Geraci of the ETF Institute suggesting the likelihood could be closer to 100% [1]. Ripple's position as the third-largest non-stablecoin by market capitalization has made XRP a focal point among altcoins, with 15 ETF applications currently under review by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). These filings, submitted by firms including Grayscale, WisdomTree, and Franklin Templeton, mark a pivotal shift in the regulatory landscape following the resolution of the prolonged SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit and the broader easing of crypto regulations in the U.S. [2].

Market analysts and AI tools have weighed in on the potential price implications of an XRP ETF approval, with predictions spanning a wide range. A conservative estimate suggests XRP could reach between $4 and $5, a new all-time high for the asset. A more bullish scenario envisions a jump to $10, while a highly speculative projection points to a price surge beyond $15, contingent on favorable macroeconomic conditions and strong institutional demand [1]. These forecasts align with broader industry sentiment, as existing futures-based XRP ETFs have shown robust inflows, and the performance of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs has demonstrated the liquidity and institutional adoption that ETFs can drive [3].

The anticipated ETF approvals are expected to unlock substantial market inflows. JPMorgan analysts projected up to $8 billion in inflows in the first year of XRP ETF trading, while Canary Capital’s Steve McClurg estimated $5 billion could flow into the product in just the first month. These figures underscore the growing demand for XRP among both retail and institutional investors, especially in the context of increasing mainstream financial adoption. Nate Geraci has also emphasized that investor interest in XRP is significantly underestimated, drawing parallels to the pre-launch demand for Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs [2].

Technically, XRP is preparing for a potential price rebound, as analyzed through tools like Murrey Math Lines and falling wedge patterns. The asset has formed a key support level at $2.34, with a projected rebound target at $3.65 and an extreme overshoot scenario reaching $4.29. The convergence of these technical indicators with the expected ETF approvals in October has led analysts to view the period as a critical inflection point for XRP. Meanwhile, whale activity has also shifted favorably, with large investors accumulating $984 million worth of XRP over the past two weeks, reversing earlier outflows [3].

The October 18 deadline has become a key market event, with the SEC set to begin ruling on the submitted XRP ETF applications. This date mirrors the precedent set by the Bitcoin ETF approval process, where regulatory clarity led to a sharp price rally. However, some analysts caution that a portion of the expected price action may already be priced in, with the potential for a “buy the rumor, sell the news” scenario if the market overreacts ahead of the actual approval [4].

Source: [1] How High Will XRP's Price Go if All Ripple ETFs Are Approved in 2025? 3 AIs Give Big Predictions (https://cryptopotato.com/how-high-will-xrps-price-go-if-all-ripple-etfs-are-approved-in-2025-3-ais-give-big-predictions/) [2] XRP ETF approval seen to unlock $5bn bonanza, but 'people ... (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/xrp-etf-approval-seen-unlock-121250497.html) [3] XRP price Murrey Math Lines indicate surge ahead of ETF ... (https://crypto.news/xrp-price-murrey-math-lines-surge-ahead-etf-approvals/) [4] Prediction: XRP Could See Its Price Rising Again by Oct. 18 (https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/09/05/prediction-xrp-could-see-its-price-rising-again-by/)