XRP News Today: XRP's ETF Hopes Rise as Grayscale Trust Turns One

Ripple and Grayscale have marked the first anniversary of the Grayscale XRP Trust on September 5, 2025, as speculation around a potential XRP spot ETF continues to build momentum. The Trust, launched on September 5, 2024, has demonstrated strong demand, with 301,500 outstanding shares and assets under management reaching nearly $17 million by mid-September 2025. As with Grayscale’s Bitcoin and Ethereum Trusts, the company has submitted a filing to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to convert its XRP Trust into a spot ETF [3]. Grayscale’s XRP Trust offers investors indirect exposure to XRP without the logistical challenges of direct ownership, and its performance mirrors that of the broader XRP market, which has surged from under $0.60 at launch to a peak of $2.81 earlier in 2025 [3].

The anticipation for an XRP ETF has intensified as the SEC approaches its decision window on several pending applications. Currently, the SEC is reviewing nearly a dozen XRP ETF proposals, part of a larger set of more than 90 exchange-traded products awaiting approval. The odds of an XRP ETF approval have increased significantly on prediction markets like Polymarket, with the probability climbing to 87% in recent days and reaching as high as 95% in August 2025 [1]. Analysts like Nate Geraci of the ETF Institute suggest that the potential inflow from an XRP ETF could exceed $5 billion in the first month, driven by both retail and institutional demand [1].

Market dynamics have also been influenced by recent whale activity. In late July, massive profit-taking saw $6 billion in XRP sold within three weeks, pushing the price down 23% from its all-time high. However, the trend has reversed in recent weeks, with whales buying back 350 million XRP tokens worth $984 million [1]. Institutional investors have also added 340 million XRP tokens recently, despite market volatility. This increased accumulation has helped absorb selling pressure and stabilize the price, even as XRP faced a 4% drop in early September following a failed breakout above $2.88 [2].

The regulatory landscape has improved for XRP in recent months, with Ripple settling its long-standing legal dispute with the SEC. This resolution has enhanced clarity around XRP’s status and boosted optimism for regulatory approvals. Analysts are comparing the current 47-day consolidation pattern to XRP’s 2017 structure, which preceded a significant rally [2]. Additionally, the broader market is closely watching the SEC’s October decision on spot XRP ETF applications, which many believe could serve as a bullish catalyst. If approved, an XRP ETF would likely lead to increased liquidity and broader institutional adoption, similar to the impact seen with Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs [1].

Speculation about the potential price impact of an XRP ETF ranges from conservative to highly bullish. AI models such as ChatGPT, Grok, and Gemini have suggested scenarios where XRP could reach between $4 and $15, depending on market conditions, regulatory developments, and investor sentiment. A conservative estimate points to a new all-time high of $4–$5, while more bullish projections suggest potential for the asset to break into double digits if favorable conditions align [4]. Such outcomes depend heavily on the timing of the SEC’s decision and the overall health of the crypto market, including retail adoption and institutional interest.

As the market awaits the SEC’s next move, XRP remains a focal point for both investors and industry analysts. The Grayscale XRP Trust continues to serve as a regulated vehicle for exposure to the asset, while broader speculation about ETF approval fuels price volatility and investor sentiment. With multiple filings under review and increasing market participation, XRP’s inclusion in the ETF market could mark a significant turning point for the asset’s mainstream adoption and market performance [1][3][4].

Source:

[1] XRP ETF approval seen to unlock $5bn bonanza, but 'people ... (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/xrp-etf-approval-seen-unlock-121250497.html)

[2] XRP Drops 4% After $2.88 Rejection as ETF Speculation ... (https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/09/05/xrp-holds-usd2-84-after-v-shaped-recovery-from-midday-lows)

[3] Ripple and Grayscale Celebrate First Birthday: Is XRP ETF ... (https://cryptopotato.com/ripple-and-grayscale-celebrate-first-birthday-is-xrp-etf-next/)

[4] How High Will XRP's Price Go if All Ripple ETFs Are ... (https://cryptopotato.com/how-high-will-xrps-price-go-if-all-ripple-etfs-are-approved-in-2025-3-ais-give-big-predictions/)