XRP News Today: XRP's ETF Fate and Fed Moves Spark $5B Bet on October Showdown

XRP, the third-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has surged approximately 4% in recent trading sessions amid heightened expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. The probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the September 17 FOMC meeting now stands at 99%, according to futures market data. Analysts suggest this development could stimulate renewed demand for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, as lower interest rates typically reduce the opportunity cost of holding high-volatility assets like XRP. The cryptocurrency currently trades at around $2.88, with technical indicators showing consolidation near key support and resistance levels [3].

Options data from Deribit further underscores bullish sentiment, with XRP call options—representing bullish bets—trading at a premium across all tenors. Notably, December expiry calls were priced at a 6-volatility-point premium to puts, signaling a strong bias toward a year-end rally. This pattern is also observed in Solana (SOL), which saw December calls trade at an even wider 10-volatility-point premium. Call options grant buyers the right to purchase the underlying asset at a predetermined price, serving as a proxy for market optimism [1]. The bullish positioning reflects growing anticipation around potential U.S. regulatory developments, particularly the approval of XRP-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Market participants are closely watching the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for a decision on pending ETF applications, including WisdomTree’s XRP ETF. These filings, submitted by at least six major issuers such as Bitwise and 21Shares, are expected to receive rulings by late October 2025. The synchronized nature of these regulatory decisions has led to speculation that a single approval or rejection could trigger a significant price reaction in XRP. Pseudonymous XRP holder Pimpius estimated potential first-month inflows into XRP ETFs could exceed $5 billion, creating a substantial demand shock in a market with relatively inelastic supply [1].

Meanwhile, XRP’s underlying infrastructure continues to attract institutional interest. Chainalysis recently announced extended support for the XRP Ledger (XRPL), enabling customers to monitor over 260,000 tokens, including fungible (IOUs) and non-fungible (XLS-20) tokens. This expansion highlights the ledger’s growing utility beyond payments, with features such as payment channels and regulation-compliant tools making it appealing to enterprises and institutional investors. Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) platform, which leverages XRP to facilitate fast cross-border settlements, could also benefit from lower funding costs and improved liquidity conditions [2].

Technical indicators suggest XRP is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, with support near $2.76 and resistance at $2.95. Analysts estimate a potential upward breakout could push the price toward $3.04, while a breakdown below $2.76 may trigger a bearish trend. The token’s 24-hour trading volume has exceeded 3.52 billion, with whale accumulation activity indicating strong investor confidence. Over the past month, 1.7 million XRP tokens have been purchased, with large-scale buyers accumulating over 340 million tokens in recent weeks. These trends signal continued interest in XRP as a settlement asset, despite short-term volatility [5].

As the market anticipates the Federal Reserve’s next move, XRP remains positioned to benefit from broader macroeconomic trends. However, analysts caution that a rate cut alone may not guarantee a prolonged bull market if underlying economic fundamentals weaken. While the cryptocurrency appears to be in accumulation mode, long-term success will depend on institutional adoption and real-world utility, particularly in cross-border payments and enterprise applications. With the SEC decision on ETFs expected in October, the coming months could prove critical for XRP’s trajectory [3].

Source:

[1] XRP and SOL Signal Bull Run While Traders Hedge for ... (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/xrp-sol-signal-bullish-strength-062449930.html)

[2] Automatic Token Support for XRP Ledger (https://www.chainalysis.com/blog/xrp-ledger-automatic-token-support-september-2025-2/)

[3] Why XRP Is Surging Today (https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/09/08/why-xrp-is-surging-today/)

[4] Here's Why a Fed Rate Cut Could be Great News for XRP (https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/heres-why-fed-rate-cut-could-be-great-news-xrp)

[5] XRP Price Prediction: Whales Accumulate as Triangle Pattern Sets Stage for Next Major Move (https://coincentral.com/xrp-price-prediction-whales-accumulate-as-triangle-pattern-sets-stage-for-next-major-move/)