XRP News Today: XRP ETF Approval Could Outperform ETH, Says Analysts

The approval of a spot XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) is approaching a critical juncture, with growing optimism among market participants that it will unlock significant institutional demand for the asset. As the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) moves closer to its October 2025 decision deadlines, analysts are projecting substantial inflows into XRP ETFs, with some forecasting up to $5 billion in the first month alone. This optimism is bolstered by the rising probability of approval—currently at 87% on Polymarket—up from 64% in mid-August [1]. Nate Geraci, president of the ETF Store, has even suggested that the likelihood of approval is “closer to 100%” as the decision window tightens [4].

The potential approval of an XRP ETF is expected to mirror the explosive demand seen in the early months of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. For instance, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust alone attracted nearly $2 billion in its first three trading days, while Ethereum ETFs saw over $13 billion in inflows. Steven McClurg of Canary Capital has highlighted XRP’s unique position in the financial services sector, particularly in cross-border transactions, as a key differentiator that could attract institutional investors. “$XRP ETF can do $5 billion in the first month and can outperform $ETH from pure financial services,” he stated [2]. This sentiment is echoed by James Seyffart of Bloomberg, who estimates a 95% approval probability for XRP ETFs by the end of 2025 [1].

Technical analysis further supports a bullish outlook for XRP. The token has formed a classic bull flag pattern on the daily chart, a continuation pattern that typically results in a strong upward breakout once the key resistance at $3 is broken [4]. Analysts like Crypto Pulse have emphasized the importance of holding above the $2.75 level to maintain the bullish structure. A successful breakout could drive XRP toward $5, representing a 77% increase from its current price. The token also appears to have found support at the 100-day moving average, suggesting that a rebound is likely in the near term [3].

Despite the positive momentum, not all analysts share the same enthusiasm. AdrianoFeria.eth, a crypto analyst on X, has voiced skepticism, arguing that the XRP ETF could “mark the beginning of the end for XRP” due to the lack of meaningful institutional interest. Critics of XRP have long pointed to its weaker narrative compared to Bitcoin’s “digital gold” status or Ethereum’s smart contract capabilities. However, proponents argue that XRP’s real-world utility in cross-border payments and its existing adoption by financial institutions provide a stronger foundation for long-term demand.

The regulatory landscape is also shifting in XRP’s favor. With the SEC’s October deadlines approaching, more than 90 crypto ETF applications are under review, including several for XRP, Solana, and other altcoins. The approval of a spot XRP ETF would not only validate its status as a non-security but also create a more accessible entry point for retail and institutional investors. This development could further boost XRP’s market capitalization, particularly if major asset managers like BlackRock or Fidelity launch their own ETFs. The success of futures-based XRP products, such as CME XRP futures, which have already attracted over $1 billion in open interest, suggests that demand for XRP-related financial instruments is already strong [3].

While the path to ETF approval remains uncertain, the growing consensus among analysts and the technical indicators on the XRP price chart suggest that the token is entering a pivotal phase. A successful ETF launch could catalyze broader adoption and drive XRP toward new all-time highs, provided it clears key technical and regulatory hurdles. Investors will closely watch the SEC’s decision in October to determine the next major move for XRP and the broader altcoin market.

Source:

[1] XRP ETF approval seen to unlock $5bn bonanza, but 'people ... (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/xrp-etf-approval-seen-unlock-121250497.html)

[2] Crypto analyst warns XRP ETF will mark 'beginning of the end' (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypto-analyst-warns-xrp-etf-193131671.html)

[3] What's next for XRP price as ETF approval chances hit 87%? (https://crypto.news/whats-next-for-xrp-price-as-etf-approval-chances-hit-87)

[4] Classic XRP price chart pattern targets $5 as spot ETF ... (https://cointelegraph.com/news/classic-xrp-price-chart-pattern-5-spot-etf-reality-draws-closer)

[5] Is XRP Heading for a Crash in September? (https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/xrp-heading-crash-september)

[6] XRP ETF Launch Is On The Horizon: Experts Share Their ... (https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-3-1089957-20250903)