XRP News Today: XRP ETF Approval Odds Surge to 88% as Institutional Interest Grows

Momentum is building around XRP as major institutional players show growing confidence in its growth prospects, both as a crypto asset and as a top ETF candidate. With the SEC set to decide on spot crypto ETFs in the second half of 2025, XRP is emerging as one of the leading contenders.

At XRP Las Vegas 2025, Teucrium ETFs CEO Sal Gilbertie said that Wall Street is seriously underestimating the strength of the XRP community and Ripple’s role in shaping the future of crypto. Gilbertie is far more bullish than JP Morgan's estimates of $4–8 billion in inflows for spot XRP ETFs in their first year. He stated, “I’d say $8 billion or maybe way more. They’re underestimating the XRP community and Ripple.”

In a separate interview, Gilbertie had also called XRP the crypto asset with “the most utility,” setting it apart from others in the space. Teucrium’s 2x leveraged XRP ETF launched strong with $5 million in trading volume on day one. In just 7 weeks, the fund attracted $122 million.

The odds of an XRP ETF approval this year have surged to 90% on the Polymarket prediction platform, up from just 70% a few weeks ago. The odds are currently sitting at 88%. If new XRP ETFs attract more than $85 million in their first week, it would be considered a “relative success.” XRP’s spot market is about 7.5% the size of Bitcoin’s. So, if XRP ETFs hit 7.5% of Bitcoin ETF launch numbers, it would be a strong start. For the unversed, Bitcoin ETFs saw $14 billion in volume and $1.13 billion in flows at launch.

The SEC is expected to announce ETF decisions in late 2025, with major players like Grayscale, VanEck, Bitwise, and Canary Capital leading the charge. XRP’s ETF approval odds are at 85%, alongside other strong players like Solana and Litecoin.

While the US regulators delay, Canada is already leading the way. Firms like Purpose Investments, 3iQ, and Evolve have recently launched XRP ETFs with approval from the Ontario Securities Commission.

The potential launch of an XRP ETF represents a significant milestone for the cryptocurrency market. An ETF would provide investors with a regulated and accessible way to gain exposure to XRP without directly owning the token. This could attract a broader range of investors, including those who are cautious about the volatility and regulatory risks associated with direct cryptocurrency ownership. The Purpose XRP ETF, for instance, is designed to offer investors exposure to XRP without the complexities of holding the token directly, making it an attractive option for institutional and retail investors alike.

The CEO's comments come at a time when the cryptocurrency market is experiencing increased scrutiny and regulatory attention. The potential approval of an XRP ETF by the SEC could signal a shift in regulatory sentiment towards cryptocurrencies, potentially paving the way for more ETFs and other regulated financial products. This development could have far-reaching implications for the broader cryptocurrency market, as it would provide a more stable and regulated investment vehicle for investors.

The demand for an XRP ETF is also indicative of the growing institutional interest in cryptocurrencies. As more institutional investors seek to diversify their portfolios and gain exposure to the digital asset class, the demand for regulated investment products like ETFs is likely to increase. The potential launch of an XRP ETF could attract significant inflows from institutional investors, further boosting the demand for XRP and potentially driving its price higher.