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Ripple’s XRP has experienced a volatile trading session on July 30, 2025, reflecting a mix of speculative activity and uncertainty tied to the ongoing legal dispute with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) [1]. Despite reaching an intramonth high of $3.66 earlier in July, the token has since retreated to around $3.08, marking a 15% decline amid broader market corrections and limited real-world adoption [2]. Over the past week, XRP underperformed the broader cryptocurrency market, falling 10% but maintaining support above the $3 level [3].
The legal battle between Ripple and the SEC, which began in December 2020, remains unresolved. While a 2023 court ruling determined that Ripple’s XRP sales on secondary markets do not constitute securities, the SEC has yet to formally withdraw its appeal. A status update is required by August 15, and many observers believe this could signal the final stage of the case [1]. Notably, the SEC and Ripple had previously requested a pause in appeals to pursue a potential settlement [1].
In parallel, Ripple has continued to expand its product offerings. The USD-pegged stablecoin RLUSD, launched in December 2024, has seen its market capitalization grow to $577.6 million. It has also received regulatory recognition from the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA) and is now held by custodians such as BNY Mellon [1]. This marks a significant step in mainstream adoption.
Looking ahead, market participants are closely watching the potential approval of a spot XRP ETF, which analysts believe could provide a major boost to the token’s price. Several major firms, including Bitwise, Grayscale, and
, are reportedly considering such a product. According to Polymarket, the likelihood of approval before the end of 2025 stands at around 87% [1].On-chain data also suggests a possible shift in sentiment. Whale activity has shown signs of accumulation, with over 70 million XRP tokens moved from dormant wallets in July alone [5]. Additionally, exchange-held balances have been declining, indicating that holders are increasingly moving funds to cold storage and reducing short-term selling pressure [1]. Wallet activity has also seen a rise, with the number of XRP addresses reaching 7.3 million as of July 30 [1].
Analysts remain divided on XRP’s near-term prospects. Armando Pantoja, a member of Benzinga’s Crypto Advisory Board, has suggested that those holding at least 1,000 XRP are “ahead of the curve,” while Jake Claver of Digital Ascension Group has speculated that the token could reach $1,000 in the next few years [4]. However, such price forecasts remain speculative and have not been substantiated by current market fundamentals [4].
The coming weeks will be critical for XRP, particularly as the legal case with the SEC progresses and potential regulatory developments unfold. Whether XRP can break out of its current range and reestablish itself as a leading digital asset remains to be seen [1].
Source:
[1] https://coinmarketcap.com/community/articles/688a42a67481f37f58358ffa/
[2] https://www.ainvest.com/news/xrp-news-today-xrp-price-drops-15-derivatives-market-contraction-real-world-adoption-challenges-2507/
[3] https://www.fingerlakes1.com/2025/07/30/xrp-price-holds-above-3-97856827/
[4] https://thecryptobasic.com/2025/07/30/expert-says-if-youve-got-1000-xrp-youre-already-ahead-of-the-curve/
[5] https://m.economictimes.com/news/international/us/xrp-price-prediction-xrp-whale-activity-shows-bullish-momentum-is-a-10-breakout-coming-soon/articleshow/122997983.cms

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