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The resignation of David Schwartz, Ripple's Chief Technology Officer (CTO), has sparked significant debate about the future trajectory of
, the company's native cryptocurrency. Schwartz, a pivotal figure in the development of the XRP Ledger (XRPL), announced his planned departure from day-to-day responsibilities by December 2025, transitioning to a role as CTO Emeritus on Ripple's board [1]. While the timing of his exit has raised concerns among some market participants, others view it as a strategic move aligned with anticipated catalysts such as XRP ETF approvals and the adoption of ISO 20022 standards for cross-border payments [1].Market Reactions and Price Volatility

XRP's price has exhibited mixed responses to the news. In the immediate aftermath of the announcement, the token dipped by 1.5% to $2.85, trading within a seven-day range of $2.71–$2.98 [3]. However, the broader market context-including a $950 million transfer of XRP to exchanges in late September-has introduced short-term uncertainty [2]. Analysts like Dark Defender and EGRAG CRYPTO have highlighted key price levels to monitor, with support at $2.64 and resistance at $3.66 [2]. Meanwhile, whale activity has intensified, with large holders accumulating 120 million XRP in three days, signaling confidence in a potential breakout above $3.20 [6].
Institutional Demand and ETF Catalysts
The potential approval of U.S. spot XRP ETFs in October 2025 has emerged as a critical factor. Six ETF applications from firms like Grayscale and 21Shares are pending SEC decisions, with market participants pricing in over 99% odds of at least partial approvals . Analysts project that institutional inflows could reach $4–$8 billion in the first year, potentially propelling XRP toward $4.20 or higher [7]. Additionally, on-chain data reveals that XRP's circulating supply is effectively constrained by escrow accounts and institutional reserves, amplifying the risk of a supply shock if demand surges .
Regulatory and Competitive Landscape
Ripple's leadership transition coincides with increased regulatory scrutiny and competitive pressures. While the company's recent SEC settlement in mid-2025 provided clarity on XRP's status as a digital asset, ongoing challenges from SWIFT's blockchain initiatives and other payment solutions remain [1]. Analysts like Bitlord have raised concerns about Ripple's ability to maintain its technological edge, particularly as competitors explore decentralized alternatives [1]. However, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has emphasized continuity in technical strategy, with Schwartz's advisory role and continued node operation expected to mitigate disruptions [3].
Future Outlook and Key Risks
The next 6–9 months will be pivotal for XRP. Success in securing ETF approvals, navigating regulatory hurdles, and executing on strategic partnerships could determine whether the token solidifies its position as a cross-border payment solution or faces marginalization by newer platforms [1]. Short-term volatility is likely, with price swings of 5–10% anticipated as market participants react to news cycles [1]. Long-term outcomes will depend on institutional adoption, technological innovation, and Ripple's ability to address competition from SWIFT and decentralized protocols [1].
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