XRP News Today: XRP Consolidates Above $2.26 Awaiting Breakout

Generated by AI AgentCoin World
Monday, Jul 7, 2025 5:12 am ET2min read

XRP is currently consolidating just above $2.26, having rejected near the $2.40 liquidity zone. The price action is confined within a large symmetrical triangle structureGPCR-- on the daily chart, with both trendlines nearing convergence. As volatility tightens, derivatives volume has surged, and funding has flipped positive, suggesting anticipation of a decisive breakout move.

XRP has been forming a symmetrical triangle since its peak at $3.32 in March. The upper descending trendline continues to suppress price action beneath the $2.40–$2.50 resistance region. Meanwhile, the lower trendline rising from January lows is offering strong dynamic support above $2.05. The current consolidation is occurring just under a high-volume node visible on the volume profile chart, with price repeatedly tapping into the $2.18–$2.26 range, where previous CHoCH (Change of Character) signals have printed. A daily close above $2.40 could break this prolonged compression, possibly targeting $2.75–$3.00. Conversely, failure to hold above $2.18 could revisit the $2.05–$1.95 support base.

To understand the current price dynamics, it is essential to examine the weakening short-term momentum. On the 30-min chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has slipped from overbought highs and now reads 51.5, reflecting a balance between bulls and bears. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also shows a waning bullish crossover, with histogram bars shrinking near the zero line. In the short-term timeframe, the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) has flipped to minor resistance at $2.27, while Parabolic SAR dots have turned bearish above price. These indicators hint at exhaustion just beneath the supply wall at $2.40.

On-chain and derivatives data provide a more optimistic backdrop. The funding rate is now at +0.0092%, and open interest has climbed over 5%, indicating that longs are becoming more aggressive in positioning ahead of a potential breakout. The long/short ratio shows a bias toward long exposure, and the 24H long/short activity has nearly balanced out.

From a momentum and trend alignment perspective, XRP is flashing early bullish signs. The 4H Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ribbonRBBN-- is now bullishly aligned with the 20, 50, 100, and 200 EMAs stacked between $2.20 and $2.24, offering layered support beneath the current price. Bollinger Bands on the 4H chart have started to widen, with price moving along the upper band — a classic setup for breakout continuation if momentum sustains. The daily Bull Market Support Band, currently between $2.19 and $2.26, is holding price from below. In addition, XRP recently posted a Break of Structure (BOS) at $2.26, following a small CHoCH and liquidity sweep around $2.18. These signals often precede a directional push, particularly within compressed triangle structures.

With multiple indicators aligning bullishly and on-chain sentiment turning constructive, XRP is poised for a breakout attempt. However, the $2.40 resistance remains key — rejection here could send price back to retest the lower triangle boundary near $2.10. In the next 24 hours, XRP is likely to range between $2.22 and $2.40. A confirmed breakout above the triangle could open targets toward $2.75 and potentially $3.00. On the flip side, a breakdown below $2.18 would risk a slide toward the $2.05–$1.95 support zone.

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