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XRP's Potential in the $867 Trillion RWA Market Sparks Price Projections and Institutional Adoption
The
Ledger (XRPL) is emerging as a pivotal platform in the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA), with market experts forecasting significant growth potential as the sector expands toward a projected $867 trillion valuation by 2030, per the World Economic Forum (WEF). Current RWA tokenization on XRPL has surged 2,260% year-to-date, reaching $118 million in tokenized assets, according to a joint report by Tokens Relations and Ripple. This growth underscores institutional confidence in the ledger's infrastructure, which offers fast settlement times (3–5 seconds), low fees, and built-in compliance tools, making it a preferred choice for large-scale tokenization projects.Gemini's valuation model highlights the potential for XRP's price to surge if XRPL captures a substantial share of the RWA market. Assuming a 5% market share ($43.35 trillion), XRP's market cap could range between $108.38 billion and $325.13 billion, translating to a price range of $1.81 to $5.42. At a 20% share ($173.4 trillion), the token's valuation could reach $433.5 billion to $1.3 trillion, pushing its price to $7.23–$21.67. A 35% capture ($303.45 trillion) could see XRP's market cap approach $2.28 trillion, rivaling Bitcoin's valuation, with a price range of $12.64 to $37.95. These projections hinge on XRP's role as a liquidity bridge for the XRPL decentralized exchange (DEX), leveraging its utility in settlement and cross-chain operations.
Institutional adoption is accelerating, with Ripple expanding partnerships to tokenize real-world assets across global markets. In the Middle East, Dubai's Land Department and Ctrl Alt have launched a real estate tokenization project on XRPL. In Europe, collaborations with DZ Bank, BBVA Switzerland, and DekaBank via Metaco aim to enhance custody solutions. Meanwhile, Mercado
has tokenized over $200 million in assets in Latin America, demonstrating XRPL's scalability in emerging markets. Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin further solidifies its institutional appeal, with recent partnerships enabling 24/7 redemptions for BlackRock's BUIDL and VanEck's VBILL tokenized funds. This integration, facilitated by Securitize, provides a stablecoin off-ramp for institutional investors, enhancing liquidity and utility for tokenized assets.Technical analysis reinforces bullish momentum for XRP. The token has surged 4.6% to $3.05 as of September 12, 2025, supported by a key $3.30–$3.40 range. Traders are eyeing a $3.84 breakout level, with Fibonacci extension targets suggesting potential movement toward $4.60–$4.70 by late 2025. The XRP Ledger's on-chain activity also reflects robust growth, with DeFi total value locked (TVL) at $92.57 million and stablecoin market cap rising 23.18% weekly to $93.21 million.
Ripple's strategic focus on RWA tokenization is paying dividends, with the XRPL ranking first in 30-day RWA growth (32.27%) despite having only nine listings. Phil Kwok of EasyA attributes this to RLUSD's role as a settlement layer, enabling higher-value tokenizations. Meanwhile, the ledger's low-fee, high-throughput model-processing 1,500 transactions per second-positions it as a viable alternative to slower, more expensive blockchains like
and Bitcoin.The growing institutional interest is further validated by Ripple's partnerships with asset management giants. BlackRock and VanEck have integrated RLUSD as a redemption mechanism for tokenized funds, allowing investors to convert shares into stablecoins instantly. This development aligns with Ripple's vision of bridging traditional finance and DeFi, with CEO Brad Garlinghouse emphasizing the importance of 24/7 liquidity for institutional-grade use cases.
As the RWA market matures, XRP's utility-driven narrative is gaining traction. Analysts argue that the token's role in settlement, cross-border payments, and liquidity provision could drive demand beyond speculative trading. With regulatory clarity in the U.S. and expanding tokenization use cases, XRP is well-positioned to benefit from the next phase of blockchain adoption. However, market observers caution that volatility and regulatory uncertainties remain risks, particularly if broader crypto sentiment shifts.
[1] TheCryptoBasic (https://thecryptobasic.com/2025/10/04/here-is-xrp-price-if-xrpl-captures-5-20-or-35-of-867-trillion-rwa-market-predicted-by-the-wef/)
[2] Coinpedia.org (https://coinpedia.org/news/xrp-news-today-xrpls-rwa-tokenization-explodes-2260-approaches-118m/)
[5] TheCurrencyAnalytics.com (https://thecurrencyanalytics.com/altcoins/xrp-price-set-to-surge-as-tokenized-real-world-assets-on-xrp-ledger-see-explosive-growth-186557)
[6] TimesTabloid.com (https://timestabloid.com/xrp-ledger-tops-rwa-league-table-heres-what-it-means/)
[14] Bitcoinist.com (https://bitcoinist.com/ripple-new-offramp-blackrock-vaneck-tokenized-fund/)
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