XRP News Today: XRP Anticipates 15% Gain as SEC Deadline Nears

The XRP market is in a state of heightened anticipation as the June 16, 2025, deadline approaches for the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to submit a status report in its ongoing legal dispute with Ripple Labs. This deadline is seen as a critical juncture for investors, who view it as a potential inflection point in the multi-year case that has significantly impacted XRP’s price and adoption. To assess market sentiment, Google Gemini was consulted to predict the potential rise in XRP’s price following this deadline, resulting in a detailed, scenario-based forecast.

June 16 is not expected to bring a final ruling but rather a status report from the SEC to the U.S. Court of Appeals, updating on the progress of a potential settlement with Ripple. This follows the court’s earlier rejection of a proposed settlement agreement on procedural grounds, leaving room for further negotiations or a revised filing. Given the case’s importance for the broader crypto industry, particularly regarding whether XRP should be classified as a security, any significant development from the SEC could have a swift impact on the market.

As of June 10, 2025, XRP is trading around $2.23. The token has experienced a steady increase in recent months, driven by speculation of a resolution and growing institutional interest. The market currently anticipates a moderately positive outcome, likely a settlement or a constructive extension. Google Gemini outlines three potential scenarios:

Scenario 1: Favorable Settlement (Bullish) - If the SEC indicates that a final settlement has been reached, likely with Ripple paying a modest penalty (around $50 million), and acknowledges that XRP is not a security in secondary market sales, this would mark a regulatory victory. Gemini forecasts that such clarity could drive XRP to $2.50–$3.50, with potential for $4.50–$5.00 if momentum builds. In highly bullish cases, particularly if ETF discussions intensify, XRP could even push toward $8–$10 later in 2025.

Scenario 2: Ongoing Negotiations (Neutral to Slightly Bearish) - If the SEC requests more time but indicates progress, markets may initially react with frustration. However, if the extension is short and framed positively, XRP may only dip slightly to $2.00–$2.15 before recovering. Investors would likely wait for the next update.

Scenario 3: Settlement Breakdown (Bearish) - Should the SEC fail to file an adequate report or indicate that negotiations have collapsed, the appeals process would resume, extending the legal battle into 2026. This could trigger a selloff, sending XRP down to $1.70–$1.90 or lower.

Google Gemini leans toward a moderately bullish outcome. The AI highlights the recent speculation around a $50 million penalty as a sign that both parties are converging on a resolution. The favorable precedent from Judge Analisa Torres’ 2023 ruling, that XRP is not a security when sold programmatically, adds weight to this outlook. In its most likely scenario, Gemini expects a report indicating real settlement progress. This would likely boost XRP to the $2.30–$2.60 range shortly after June 16, with further gains possible if broader market sentiment remains strong.

While June 16 won’t bring a final verdict, it could be the clearest sign yet of whether Ripple’s legal troubles are nearing an end. Google Gemini’s forecast suggests XRP is positioned for gains, so long as the SEC signals a move toward resolution. For XRP holders, this could be the beginning of the clarity they’ve been waiting years to see.