XRP News Today: XRP Analyst Warns of 15-20% Trap to Flush Weak Hands

CryptoInsightUK, a British analyst, has issued a warning about a potential trap in the XRP market. The analyst argues that the market is staging a deliberate trap designed to flush out weak hands, harvest stop-loss orders, and maximize upside leverage for larger players. This trap, according to the analyst, is intended to leave retail participants "screaming, ‘Yay, we’re going to the upside,’ … only to find out they’ve been played."

The analyst begins by examining XRP’s five-month down-channel, which started at the New-Year peak. He notes that the price continues to hug the underside of a descending trend line, indicating that a sweep of resting bids below remains the path of least resistance. The analyst contends that this flush would "make our journey to the upside much better and much easier to navigate," as it would reset funding, scare out late longs, and reload the order book for what he still calls the next "parabolic expansion probably up towards the $8 to $12 region."

The trap, however, may not be a straightforward vertical collapse. The analyst suggests that charts "love doing something like" an initial breakout that rallies 15-20%, convinces traders the bear-phase is finished, and then abruptly reverses into the deep liquidity pocket below. This pattern, he argues, is engineered to frustrate traders and test their resolve. The phrase he never uses—manipulation—hovers unspoken over the analysis, but his rhetoric leaves little doubt: "This is how they test everybody."

Bitcoin, in his narrative, may serve as the decoy that sets the trap. The benchmark asset has already slipped out of its own wedge-like consolidation and, he observes, “does like to do this sort of thing” by staging premature upside breaks. He sketches a possible march toward $115,000 that would “delay the inevitable” and then give way to a liquidity hunt of its own. Even so, his mid-cycle price band for Bitcoin remains $150,000 to $220,000. That upside, he argues, justifies dollar-cost-averaging into altcoins even while keeping “a tiny bit of dry powder” in reserve for the washout he expects.

A more elaborate scenario involves a temporary dominance surge in Bitcoin to the 66 to 74% range. As Bitcoin siphons capital, alts such as XRP would “bleed out,” take the downside liquidity target, and only then reverse as cash rotates back into their order books. He illustrates the dance on twin TradingView panels—Bitcoin on the left, XRP on the right—before concluding that the rotational setup is “not highly likely” because it requires several macro-scale dominoes to fall in sequence. Still, he refuses to dismiss it, pointing to the strategic reserve bill in Washington as the sort of narrative catalyst that could spark a temporary Bitcoin-only rally and demoralise alt-holders.

Macro-risk flickers through the commentary—wars that could “shove us down” in the near term—but he treats geopolitical stress as a catalyst for final capitulation rather than a thesis-killer. “The upside is so large it almost can’t be ignored,” he insists, framing the present chop as a high-volatility pause before a structural up-leg.

Whether that leg begins only after a full flush or emerges from yet another fake-out remains uncertain, but the analyst’s message is unmistakable: traders who chase breakouts without accounting for hidden hands risk being liquidated first, spectators to the parabola they hoped to ride.

For now, he is content to wait “for the market to do its worst trick,” believing that the final shakeout will announce itself through a sudden, depth-piercing wick. “You’re being played,” he warns. The admonition is stark: if the playbook unfolds as expected, the pain will be quick. “If we get these levels, that’s where I’m putting the last bit of my dry powder in[…]. It’s $1.80-ish, $1.90 maybe.”

At press time, XRP traded at $2.16.