XRP News Today: XRP's $5 Target Looms as ETF Hopes Ignite Institutional Bet

XRP is currently rebounding after a brief dip to $2.70, with market analysts closely watching the October 2025 deadline for U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) decisions on spot XRP ETF applications. The approval of XRP ETFs is viewed by many as a potential turning point for the cryptocurrency, with significant inflows predicted should these products launch. Nate Geraci, co-founder of the ETF Institute and President of the ETF Store, emphasized that investor demand for XRP ETFs has been underestimated, echoing past trends seen with Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. Over $5 billion in inflows within the first month of an XRP ETF launch has been forecasted, according to Steve McClurg of Canary Capital, while JPMorgan analysts predict up to $8 billion in inflows in the first year of trading.

The XRP ETF approval process is gaining momentum as several fund providers updated their applications, signaling optimism among market participants. The odds of approval on Polymarket have risen to 87% from 64% in August, with Nate Geraci estimating the likelihood at “closer to 100%” as the SEC’s decision deadlines approach. Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas also placed the approval probability at 95%, citing the recent legal clarity on XRP’s status following Ripple’s 2024 legal victory and a regulatory shift at the SEC. Approximately 11 XRP ETF proposals are currently under review, with key decisions expected between October 18 and November 14, 2025.

XRP’s price action also reflects the growing anticipation. The token has formed a bull flag pattern on the daily chart, with a potential breakout above the $3.00 resistance level. Analysts suggest that a breakout could propel XRP toward $5, representing a 77% gain from its current price. The price has been supported by the 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $2.76, and the 200-day EMA at $2.51 remains a critical support zone. Meanwhile, whales have been accumulating XRP, purchasing about 350 million tokens worth $984 million in the last two weeks, signaling increased institutional interest.

The broader market environment also supports the bullish outlook. XRP has benefited from a fast-tracked regulatory proposal from major exchanges such as Cboe’s BZX, NASDAQ, and NYSE Arca, which aims to reduce ETF approval times. Galaxy Research highlighted that XRP and Solana could meet the new listing criteria by late September and October 2025, respectively, further increasing the chances of ETF approval. If approved, these ETFs could bring institutional capital into the XRP market, enhancing its legitimacy and demand.

Despite the positive developments, risks remain. The SEC’s enforcement actions continue to create uncertainty, and market conditions could shift if regulatory delays occur. Additionally, while the approval of XRP ETFs is expected to boost liquidity and price, the broader crypto market’s performance may influence the extent of these effects. Traders are closely monitoring key resistance levels and support zones, with the potential for a more sustained rally contingent on a successful ETF approval and strong fund flows.

Source: [1] XRP ETF approval seen to unlock $5bn bonanza, but 'people ... (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/xrp-etf-approval-seen-unlock-121250497.html) [2] Classic XRP price chart pattern targets $5 as spot ETF ... (https://cointelegraph.com/news/classic-xrp-price-chart-pattern-5-spot-etf-reality-draws-closer) [3] What to expect from XRP price if the SEC green-lights ETFs (https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/ripple-price-forecast-how-the-sec-could-fast-track-approval-of-xrp-etfs-202509021715) [4] XRP Faces Crucial Test With ETF Approval Chances Now ... (https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-3-1092956-20250904) [5] Ripple ETFs: Why They Matter and How They Could ... (https://www.onesafe.io/blog/ripple-etfs-impact-on-xrp-future)