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The
price has recently fluctuated around the $3 mark, with analysts closely monitoring key support and resistance levels that could determine its trajectory toward $4. As of October 2025, XRP has experienced a pullback below $3, reaching as low as $2.97, though it has shown resilience with weekly gains of 4.5% and 5% over 30 days. Market participants are debating whether the token can sustain its position above critical support levels to trigger a sustained rally. Analysts like Ali Martinez and Lark Davis have highlighted $3.15 as a pivotal resistance, with a breakout potentially targeting $3.40 and $3.60 before aiming for $4 [1].Technical analysis underscores the importance of maintaining support at $2.97, as a failure to hold this level could push XRP toward $2.94. Lark Davis emphasized that if XRP stabilizes at $2.97, it could target $4, though he warned of a secondary support at $2.94 in case of a breakdown [2]. On-chain analytics firm Santiment noted that retail FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt) for XRP has reached its highest level in six months, with more bearish comments than bullish ones observed over two of the past three days. Historically, such sentiment extremes have preceded rebounds, suggesting a potential "buy signal" for the asset [3].
The broader cryptocurrency market has provided tailwinds for XRP, with
(BTC) reaching a new high above $126,000. This bullish momentum has spilled into altcoins, including XRP, as institutional interest and ETF-related developments gain traction. The Teucrium 2x Long Daily XRP ETF launched despite the U.S. government shutdown, leveraging a regulatory "silence is compliance" approach. While not a spot ETF, it holds Treasuries, cash, and swaps, bypassing SEC approval requirements [4]. Meanwhile, XRP's futures open interest has surged by over 3.5% to $9.25 billion, indicating sustained bullish positioning despite recent price dips [1].Prediction markets reflect divided sentiment on XRP's short-term prospects. The EveryX platform hosts a market tracking whether XRP will reach $4 by October 31, 2025, with 58% of participants currently predicting it will not. However, 42% anticipate success, driven by regulatory clarity, ETF momentum, and institutional partnerships such as Ripple's collaboration with DBS and Franklin Templeton to tokenize money market funds on the XRP Ledger [5].
Market structure analysis highlights a descending triangle pattern near $3, with Lark Davis suggesting a clean close above the resistance line could initiate a rally toward $4. Conversely, rejection at this level might retest the $2.60 support. Volume dynamics remain critical, as a surge in trading activity during a breakout could validate the bullish case [2].
The interplay between institutional adoption and short-term volatility defines XRP's near-term outlook. Whale sell-offs have created resistance between $3.00–$3.20, while macroeconomic factors like Fed policy uncertainty and profit-taking add complexity. Despite these challenges, XRP's ecosystem continues to evolve, with regulatory milestones-such as Ripple's $125 million SEC settlement-positioning the token for broader institutional integration [5].
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