XRP News Today: XRP's $3.13 Test in October: A Breakout to $3.65 or a Fall to $2.65?

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Sunday, Oct 12, 2025 5:15 am ET2min read
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- XRP faces critical $3.08–$3.13 resistance in October 2025, with a breakout potentially targeting $3.30–$3.65 or a pullback to $2.65.

- Derivatives data shows $8.95B open interest and 45% higher options volume, reflecting heightened retail bullishness vs. institutional caution.

- SEC's October 18–25 ETF ruling could trigger institutional inflows, mirroring REX/Osprey's $38M ETF debut, while onchain accumulation near $2.75 suggests support.

- Technical indicators (RSI 51.45, narrowing MACD bear gap) and a 362-day ascending triangle pattern signal potential 500% rally if $3.13 is cleanly breached with volume.

XRP, the digital asset associated with Ripple Labs, is poised for a critical technical development in October 2025 as it consolidates near $3. Analyst Egrag Crypto has highlighted a symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily chart, with

XRP
pressing against key resistance levels at $3.08 and $3.13. A decisive close above these levels, sustained for three days, could trigger a rally toward $3.30–$3.46, according to technical analysis. Conversely, a failure to hold these levels risks a pullback to $2.65, where the 200-day EMA and horizontal support converge XRP Coils At $3—This Pattern Will Decide If $3.30 Or $2.65 Is Coming Next[1].

Derivatives activity underscores heightened volatility. Open interest in XRP futures reached $8.95 billion, near yearly highs, while options volume surged 45% and open interest doubled XRP Coils At $3 Apex As Triangle Breakout Looms - Benzinga[2]. Binance data reveals retail traders favoring long positions, with a ratio of over 3:1, though larger accounts remain cautious XRP Coils At $3 Apex As Triangle Breakout Looms - Benzinga[2]. Spot inflows have also returned after a $300 million exodus, with $15.8 million entering markets on October 6-a potential bullish signal XRP Coils At $3 Apex As Triangle Breakout Looms - Benzinga[2].

Egrag Crypto emphasizes that XRP must close above $3.13–$3.20, dubbed the "pinkish square," to confirm a breakout. This zone has repeatedly failed to hold a 3-day close, keeping XRP in a macro range of $2.65–$3.65 Egrag Crypto: XRP Has to Hold These 3 Levels for 3 Days or Risk a …[8]. A sustained move above $3.13 could target $4.40, while a rejection may force a retest of $2.65 Egrag Crypto Warns XRP Holders: Big Breakout or Sharp Rejection?[6]. Analysts also note that XRP's price remains above key EMAs ($2.33, $1.79, $1.29), indicating long-term trend resilience Will XRP Explode in 2025? Chart Pattern Hints at Major …[3].

October's significance is amplified by regulatory developments. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is set to rule on multiple spot XRP ETF applications between October 18 and 25 . A favorable outcome could inject institutional capital, mirroring the $38 million debut of REX/Osprey's XRPR ETF in late September. Additionally, XRP's onchain data shows significant accumulation around $2.75–$2.80, with nearly 4.3 billion tokens held in that range .

Technical indicators remain neutral but lean bullish. The RSI stands at 51.45, while the MACD shows a narrowing bearish gap, suggesting waning selling pressure XRP Price Prediction & Analysis: Poised for Breakout?[5]. Momentum analysts caution that a clean breakout above $3.08 with volume is essential to avoid a "bull trap," where temporary gains precede a reversal XRP price: Why October will be the most bullish month of 2025[9].

Historical patterns further support optimism. XRP has formed a 362-day ascending triangle, with a projected breakout window between late September and December 2025 Will XRP Explode in 2025? Chart Pattern Hints at Major …[3]. A similar pattern in 2024 preceded a 500% rally, and a 2025 repetition could see XRP

test
$3.65 or higher .

Inflows and derivatives positioning suggest market positioning is aligned for volatility. Coinglass data shows XRP's futures open interest at $7.94 billion, up sharply from sub-$2 billion earlier in 2025 Major Ripple Rally Ahead? XRP Eyes Explosive Move After Triangle …[4]. Analysts attribute this to a 280-day consolidation phase nearing its end, with price compression and volume buildup signaling a potential move Major Ripple Rally Ahead? XRP Eyes Explosive Move After Triangle …[4].

Egrag Crypto's analysis underscores the pivotal role of October. A successful breakout above $3.13 could validate the triangle pattern and align with broader market sentiment, particularly if ETF approvals materialize. However, traders must remain cautious, as a failure to hold key levels could trigger a retest of critical supports Egrag Crypto Warns XRP Holders: Big Breakout or Sharp Rejection?[6].