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XRP's price has surged to $2.54 in early Asian trading, driven by softer U.S. inflation data and growing optimism around a potential Federal Reserve rate cut later this month. Analysts suggest the token could test a critical $2.80 resistance level if bullish momentum sustains above $2.55. The latest U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed annual inflation easing to 3.0%, reinforcing expectations for a 25-basis-point Fed easing, according to a
. Lower borrowing costs are weakening the U.S. dollar, redirecting capital into risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies. , which has outperformed many altcoins this week with an 11.4% gain, according to a , now faces a pivotal technical threshold.The first U.S.-listed spot XRP ETF, the REX-Osprey XRP ETF (XRPR), has surpassed $100 million in assets under management just one month after its launch, according to
. This milestone comes as the SEC delays rulings on six other XRP ETF applications due to a government shutdown. Meanwhile, institutional demand for XRP is accelerating. Evernorth, a new XRP-focused treasury company, recently expanded its holdings to $1 billion, receiving 530 million XRP from Ripple, per a . The company plans to use its reserves for lending, liquidity provision, and DeFi services, aiming to boost XRP's utility and demand.
However, XRP's path to $2.80 remains clouded by regulatory uncertainty. Despite a 99% approval probability for a U.S. spot XRP ETF in 2025 on prediction markets, as reported by
, the token has been excluded from recent ETF approvals for (SOL), (LTC), and (HBAR), which began trading on NASDAQ, according to a . Legal experts note that XRP's price historically mirrors Bitcoin's movements, meaning its upside could be limited if broader crypto markets falter, per a .Technically, XRP is trading within a descending triangle pattern, with key resistance near $2.70–$2.72, as noted in that Cryptorank analysis. A breakout above this level could propel the token toward $2.80 and beyond, but failure to close above $2.72 risks a correction toward $2.26. Short-term traders are closely watching for rejection candles or bearish engulfing patterns at $2.70, while institutional buyers may step in to defend the $2.55 support zone.
Market observers highlight a broader crossroads for XRP. While macro fundamentals—softer inflation, potential rate cuts, and rising institutional adoption—remain constructive, regulatory headwinds and technical resistance could delay a sustained rally. If buyers reclaim $2.70–$2.72, XRP could extend its recovery toward $3.00. Until then, consolidation within the $2.25–$2.70 range is likely, according to an
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