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The odds of approval for an
spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States have reached near-certainty, with Nate Geraci, co-founder of the ETF Institute and President of the ETF Store, affirming that a 2025 breakthrough is all but guaranteed. Geraci emphasized that investor demand for XRP and ETFs is being significantly underestimated, drawing parallels to the earlier underestimates for and ETFs before their launches. His remarks underscore growing confidence in the market readiness for XRP as an investable asset class [1].The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is expected to deliver key rulings on multiple XRP ETF applications from mid-October to mid-November 2025. Grayscale, 21Shares, Bitwise, CoinShares, Canary Capital, and
are among the firms awaiting decisions in the next few weeks. The timeline is notable for its density, with several rulings clustered together, potentially triggering a cascade of market reactions. Franklin Templeton, a major name in traditional asset management, also has an XRP ETF application pending, with a decision expected on November 14 [2].Market observers are split on the potential impact of these approvals. Optimists, including Canary Capital CEO Steven McClurg, project that an XRP ETF could attract up to $5 billion in inflows within its first month of trading. This estimate is based on prior performance of leveraged XRP products and the potential for XRP’s use in cross-border transactions to attract institutional demand. However, skeptics like AdrianoFeria.eth, a crypto analyst on X, argue that XRP lacks the compelling narratives—such as Bitcoin’s “digital gold” or Ethereum’s decentralized infrastructure—that drive sustained institutional interest [3].
The broader context includes the SEC’s review of more than 90 crypto ETF applications, covering major altcoins like Solana,
, and , as well as meme coins and other speculative tokens. According to Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart, the approval prospects for XRP, Solana, and Litecoin ETFs in 2025 stand at 95%, indicating a systemic shift in the regulatory landscape toward accepting digital assets as legitimate investment vehicles. Seyffart has long advocated for ETF approvals, framing the issue as a question of timing rather than feasibility [1].In parallel with these developments, the market price of XRP has experienced volatility, trading at $2.81 as of mid-August 2025. The token has lost 23% of its value since reaching an all-time high in early July, attributed to large-scale profit-taking by whale holders. However, recent data from Santiment indicates a reversal in whale sentiment, with over 350 million XRP tokens worth approximately $984 million being repurchased in the last two weeks. This suggests a potential stabilization in the token’s fundamentals and renewed interest from large investors [2].
Source:
[1] XRP ETF Approval Timeline: October and November Could ... (https://coinpedia.org/news/xrp-etf-approval-timeline-october-and-november-could-change-everything/)
[2] XRP ETF approval seen to unlock $5bn bonanza, but 'people ... (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/xrp-etf-approval-seen-unlock-121250497.html)
[3] Crypto analyst warns XRP ETF will mark 'beginning of the end' (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypto-analyst-warns-xrp-etf-193131671.html)

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