XRP News Today: Whale Moves and ETF Bets Could Tip XRP’s Final Bull Battle

Ripple’s XRP is in the final phase of its bull cycle, according to analysts, who are closely monitoring key technical and macroeconomic indicators for signs of a potential breakout. The cryptocurrency has stabilized near $2.80, following a 2.6% daily decline, with a market capitalization of $166.7 billion and 24-hour trading volume exceeding $7 billion. Key support levels include $2.79, $2.58, and $2.43, while resistance remains at $2.99, $3.09, and $3.25. Technical indicators like RSI (41) and MACD histograms point to bearish pressure. A failure to defend $2.58 could send XRP lower toward $2.20–$2.40, a critical zone for bulls.

Whale activity has played a pivotal role in XRP’s recent volatility. Accumulation between $2.81 and $3.13, totaling 1.7 billion XRP, provided temporary stability, but a significant sell-off of 470 million XRP in mid-August 2025 erased 17% of market value. The Taker Buy-Sell Ratio, currently at 0.90, indicates ongoing selling pressure. Historically, dips below 1 in this ratio have signaled local bottoms, as seen on August 2, when XRP bounced 20% over subsequent weeks. Institutional demand remains muted, and traders are watching whale inflows and ETF approvals as potential catalysts.

A significant development is the growing interest in XRP-based ETFs. Ten major asset managers, including Invesco, Franklin Templeton, and Bitwise, have filed for spot XRP ETFs. Derivatives such as leveraged XRP ETFs have already accumulated $500 million in assets, signaling institutional confidence. Full SEC approval would force asset managers to purchase XRP directly, absorbing billions in circulating supply. Betting markets now assign 85% odds of approval, a figure that mirrors Ethereum’s ETF trajectory, which saw $12.4 billion in net inflows during its first year.

Beyond speculative trading, Ripple’s ecosystem is gaining traction. Its stablecoin, RLUSD, has grown to nearly $700 million in circulation and is being used in high-profile transactions, including the Bullish IPO and potential Gemini listings. RLUSD’s transaction volume increased by 15% month-over-month to $2.7 billion, showcasing real-world utility. Ripple’s acquisition of Rail also expands its institutional payment offerings, reinforcing XRP’s role in cross-border settlements. On-demand liquidity (ODL) adoption is expanding globally, offering long-term demand drivers.

Compared to Bitcoin and Solana, XRP has shown stronger performance in recent bull cycles, surging 407% over the past year versus Bitcoin’s 88%. However, XRP trails Solana in corporate treasury adoption, with just $460 million in XRP held by firms versus $905 million in SOL. This gap raises questions about XRP’s ability to maintain its top-three market cap position if ETF approvals or treasury allocations favor other blockchains. Nevertheless, XRP’s utility in cross-border payments provides a distinct advantage over competitors focused on speed or meme-driven hype.

Macro factors, including U.S. Federal Reserve policy, are also shaping XRP’s near-term trajectory. The Fed’s September meeting has an 85% chance of delivering a rate cut, which could inject liquidity into risk assets and push XRP back above $3.25. However, persistent inflation, as seen in July’s 2.9% YoY PCE Index, could delay easing and pressure speculative assets. If easing materializes, XRP may mirror its 2017 breakout, which led to double-digit prices. Technical formations suggest a potential $4.60 target in the short term, with more bullish scenarios projecting as high as $52 based on extended chart patterns.

Price models and market share assumptions also suggest strong upside potential. If XRP maintains its 4.6% share of the crypto market and Bitcoin reaches $1 million—a 764% gain—XRP’s proportional value could reach $26.35. More aggressive AI-driven forecasts range from $15 to $100, with extreme cases suggesting triple-digit valuations. These scenarios highlight XRP’s asymmetric upside relative to its current $2.8 price level.

The XRP-USD market remains at a critical juncture. Short-term technical indicators point to pressure near $2.58, while whale activity and ETF approvals build a long-term bullish case. Fundamentals are strengthened by RLUSD growth, ODL adoption, and regulatory clarity, though competition from Solana and emerging projects like Remittix pose challenges. With fair projections of $4.60 in the near term and as high as $26–$52 in structural bull cases, XRP remains a high-potential asset, particularly for traders looking to buy on dips above $2.58.

Source: [1] Ripple XRP Price Forecast: XRP-USD With $2.80 Support ... (https://www.tradingnews.com/news/ripple-xrp-price-forecast-xrp-usd-etf-bets-and-whale-moves-test-280-usd-support) [2] Can XRP (XRP) Hold Support as Wave IV Unfolds? (https://thetradable.com/crypto/xrp-price-prediction-can-xrp-xrp-hold-support-as-wave-iv-unfolds-ig--a) [3] XRP Price Could Rally To $4 By The End Of 2025 But This ... (https://coincentral.com/xrp-price-could-rally-to-4-by-the-end-of-2025-but-this-altcoin-at-0-10-could-hit-7/)