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The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has announced a significant delay in its decision-making timeline for several pending spot Ripple (XRP) ETF applications, with final rulings now expected by October 23, 2025 [1]. This update applies to key filings, including the Nasdaq-listed Coinshares
ETF, as well as applications from Bitwise and Canary [1]. The SEC cited the need for additional time to evaluate proposed rule changes and newly submitted public comments as the reason for the delay [1].The extension of the review period has sparked renewed speculation about the likelihood of XRP ETF approvals. If granted, the Coinshares XRP ETF would be structured as a Commodity-Based Trust Share under Nasdaq, allowing institutional and retail investors to gain regulated exposure to Ripple’s token via traditional financial markets [1]. Ripple’s legal battle with the SEC, which lasted five years, concluded in late 2024 when both parties filed to dismiss all remaining appeals [3]. The court’s ruling that XRP is not a security in secondary markets has removed a major regulatory obstacle and could facilitate a smoother approval path for the ETFs [4].
The legal resolution has already had a measurable impact on investor sentiment. Institutional flows into XRP-focused funds reached a six-month high of $9.1 million in early August 2025, indicating strong confidence from asset managers and large investors [4]. This development aligns with broader market trends, as Ethereum-based ETFs have already demonstrated solid performance in the first half of the year, fueling speculation that XRP ETFs could follow a similar trajectory [4]. Analysts note that XRP is positioned to benefit from capital shifting from larger-cap cryptocurrencies to mid-cap alternatives, especially if ETF approval materializes [4].
Grayscale has also submitted a proposal to convert its XRP Trust into an ETF, with a decision expected by October 18, 2025 [5]. This move highlights the growing institutional interest in XRP and the industry-wide anticipation of regulatory clarity. Technical indicators further support a bullish outlook, with XRP forming a bullish pennant pattern and aligning with historical price cycles [4]. Despite short-term volatility, XRP has shown resilience, rebounding to trade near $3.08 after a recent breakout above $3.27 [4].
Price forecasts from analysts vary, with conservative estimates projecting a target of $5 to $6 and aggressive scenarios—dependent on ETF approvals—suggesting potential gains to $9–$15 [4]. While XRP has faced downward pressure due to the prolonged regulatory uncertainty, the asset appears to have found support near the $3 level, a critical threshold that could determine its next price direction [1].
The SEC’s upcoming decisions will play a pivotal role in shaping XRP’s market trajectory. A positive outcome could catalyze a surge in demand, potentially mirroring XRP’s 2017 rally, while a rejection may prolong the current uncertainty and delay broader ETF adoption [4]. The final rulings in October 2025 will thus serve as a defining moment for both XRP and the evolving regulatory landscape for cryptocurrency assets [4].
Sources:
[1] Breaking Update on Several Spot Ripple (XRP) ETF Filings - CryptoPotato (https://cryptopotato.com/breaking-update-on-several-spot-ripple-xrp-etf-filings/)
[2] Full List of XRP Spot ETFs Filings, Deadlines, and What's Next - Coinpedia (https://coinpedia.org/news/full-list-of-xrp-spot-etfs-filings-deadlines-and-whats-next/)
[3] XRP News: SEC Files Status Report as Appeals Dismissal - Binance (https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/28465345999186)
[4] XRP price today: Legal victory, ETF hopes fuel $5 breakout - Fingerlakes1.com (https://www.fingerlakes1.com/2025/08/18/xrp-price-today-august-18-breakout-update/)
[5] XRP ETF Countdown: All Filings, Final Deadlines, and Market Outlook - Coindoo (https://coindoo.com/xrp-etf-countdown-all-filings-final-deadlines-and-market-outlook/)
[6] XRP Under Pressure While ETH and SOL Rally on ETFs - FXEmpire (https://www.fxempire.com/forecasts/article/xrp-news-today-xrp-under-pressure-while-eth-and-sol-rally-on-etfs-1541974)
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