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The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has extended its review for XRP ETF applications, including Franklin Templeton’s, until September 2025. This extension has intensified institutional anticipation and underscores potential regulatory hurdles. The review process involves major players like
, Bitwise, and Grayscale, all of whom are pushing for ETF approval. This push comes after years of regulatory tension between Ripple and the SEC, stemming from a long-standing lawsuit.The initial approval of leveraged XRP ETFs has spurred investor optimism, with XRP prices seeing immediate gains. This reflects bullish sentiment and potential institutional influx. The approval of a spot ETF could initiate shifts in total value locked (TVL) and liquidity from other cryptocurrencies, leading to robust market reactions.
Historically, the approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs has set benchmarks for market reactions. Their introductions led to strengthened crypto valuations and increased interest. Experts foresee that an approved XRP spot ETF could lead to significant price appreciation, backed by historical trends of financial asset influx. This is similar to the market reactions seen with BTC and ETH ETFs.
According to the analyst's forecast, there is a 95% chance of XRP ETF approval by the fourth quarter of 2025, potentially unlocking billions in institutional capital for crypto markets. This prediction is based on the strong opening performance and investor enthusiasm surrounding the recent launch of the ProShares Ultra XRP ETF (UXRP). The odds of XRP ETF approval have risen to 86%, up 15% in just 24 hours, according to the analyst's forecast.
Institutional wallets have been aggressively accumulating XRP, with over 2.2 billion tokens added in recent weeks. This accumulation coincides with heightened futures market activity, where open interest has surged. The growing presence of institutional investors signals confidence in XRP’s prospects, particularly as they position ahead of anticipated regulatory approvals and new product launches. Blockchain analytics confirm that these large holders are playing a pivotal role in supporting XRP’s price resilience.
The imminent launch of the ProShares XRP Futures ETF, expected on July 18, is a key factor fueling market enthusiasm. This ETF will provide investors with regulated exposure to XRP futures, potentially enhancing liquidity and broadening market participation. The introduction of such financial products often acts as a catalyst for price appreciation by attracting institutional capital and legitimizing the asset class. Market analysts suggest that the ETF’s debut could mark a new phase of growth for XRP, reinforcing its position within the broader crypto ecosystem.
The combination of executive wallet activity, institutional accumulation, and ETF anticipation creates a complex dynamic for XRP’s near-term trajectory. While Larsen’s transfers may indicate portfolio adjustments, the overwhelming institutional demand and product innovation suggest sustained bullish sentiment. Stakeholders should remain attentive to market signals and regulatory updates to fully understand XRP’s evolving role in the crypto financial ecosystem.

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