XRP News Today: SEC Delay and Whale Exodus Push XRP Toward $2.20 Abyss

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Sunday, Oct 12, 2025 2:33 am ET1min read
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- XRP faces 17% price drop below $3 as whales offload 470M tokens in 10 days, with $1.5B+ in cumulative sales since late August.

- Technical indicators (RSI 42, bearish MACD) and -0.07 CMF confirm sustained outflows, while SEC's delayed ETF approval fuels regulatory uncertainty.

- Institutional activity surges ($120M+ in 24h whale-to-exchange transfers), yet XRP shows resilience near $3.02 amid improved liquidity.

- Price hinges on $2.75 support and $3.05 resistance; analysts warn prolonged whale outflows could drive 25%-50% declines to $2.20-$2.33.

XRP traders are encountering renewed selling pressure as large holders, often referred to as "whales," continue to offload significant portions of their holdings. Recent on-chain data indicates that whale outflows have intensified, with approximately 470 million

tokens sold within a 10-day period as of August 2025 Whale Exodus: 40M XRP Moved as Market Absorbs Institutional …[3]. This activity has contributed to a 17% decline in XRP's price over the past month, pushing the token below the $3 psychological threshold to $2.89 Whale Exodus: 40M XRP Moved as Market Absorbs Institutional …[3]. The selling pressure has been further exacerbated by a surge in daily whale outflows exceeding $50 million, with cumulative sales surpassing $1.5 billion since late August .

The price action reflects heightened bearish momentum, with technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 42 and a bearish crossover in the MACD line signaling weak buying pressure Whale Exodus: 40M XRP Moved as Market Absorbs Institutional …[3]. Additionally, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) metric stands at -0.07, underscoring sustained capital outflows Whale Exodus: 40M XRP Moved as Market Absorbs Institutional …[3]. XRP is currently trading within a long-standing ascending triangle pattern, a structure often associated with consolidation ahead of a potential breakout. Analysts suggest the price must hold above $2.75 to avoid further declines, with a breakdown potentially targeting $2.20-a 25% drop from current levels .

Regulatory uncertainty has compounded market concerns, particularly following the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) decision to delay the approval of the Coinshares XRP ETF until October 23, 2025 Whale Exodus: 40M XRP Moved as Market Absorbs Institutional …[3]. This delay has heightened anxiety among investors, with many interpreting it as a signal of prolonged institutional hesitancy. Meanwhile, historical parallels to early 2025 suggest a potential repeat of a 50% price correction if selling pressure persists XRP Whale Outflows Surge: Is a Price Crash Coming?[1].

Exchange data reveals additional signs of institutional activity, with 40 million XRP tokens-valued at over $120 million-transferred from whale wallets to exchanges within a single 24-hour period in September 2025 Will XRP Explode in 2025? Chart Pattern Hints at Major Upside Ahe…[5]. Despite this, XRP's price has shown surprising resilience, maintaining stability near $3.02 amid large-scale selling Will XRP Explode in 2025? Chart Pattern Hints at Major Upside Ahe…[5]. This resilience has been attributed to improved liquidity conditions and a growing institutional appetite for XRP as part of diversified crypto portfolios Will XRP Explode in 2025? Chart Pattern Hints at Major Upside Ahe…[5].

Looking ahead, traders are closely monitoring key resistance and support levels. A successful breakout above $3.05–$3.10 could trigger a rally toward $3.50, while a breakdown below $2.70 may accelerate the decline toward $2.33 or lower . Analysts emphasize that whale behavior will remain a critical factor, with sustained outflows potentially prolonging the bearish trend. Conversely, renewed accumulation by large holders could stabilize the price and reignite bullish momentum .

Investors are advised to remain cautious, given the interplay of technical, regulatory, and market sentiment factors. While XRP's long-term fundamentals-such as its speed and low transaction costs-remain intact, the immediate outlook hinges on whether whale activity reverses or intensifies.