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The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is set to make a decision on spot
exchange-traded fund (ETF) applications between October 18 and October 25, 2025, marking a pivotal moment for the asset’s market trajectory [1]. Applications from major fund providers, including Grayscale, 21Shares, Bitwise, and CoinShares, are under review, with the regulator’s decision potentially signaling broader institutional acceptance of XRP as a financial product [1].OpenAI’s ChatGPT-5 has provided a scenario-based price forecast for XRP based on the outcome of this regulatory decision [1]. If the SEC approves at least one XRP spot ETF, the model predicts a price range of $7 to $10 by December 2025. Under more aggressive institutional demand and a favorable altcoin market, XRP could reach $12 to $15 by year-end [1]. However, the AI model also highlights the risk of a “sell the news” effect, where the price might briefly exceed $10 in November before retreating to $6–$8 by December [1].
Conversely, if the ETF application is delayed or rejected, XRP is expected to remain subdued, mirroring the broader crypto market, with a projected year-end price of $4.50 to $5 [1]. At press time, XRP was trading at $3.02, with the $3 level acting as a key support zone amid ongoing uncertainty about the SEC’s decision [1].
With
and ETFs already approved, XRP is positioned as the next potential gateway for institutional capital into the digital asset space [1]. The outcome of the SEC’s decision will not only determine XRP’s price trajectory but also influence perceptions of altcoins in the institutional investment landscape.Analysts have noted that the delayed timeline for ETF approvals—from August to mid-October—has contributed to recent volatility and sell-offs in XRP [3]. While broader concerns, such as speculative risks in AI-linked assets, continue to affect market sentiment, the October decision remains the most immediate and impactful factor for XRP’s future [3].
Source:
[1] ChatGPT-5 Sets XRP Price for End of 2025 If SEC Approves Spot ETF in October. Finbold. https://finbold.com/chatgpt-5-sets-xrp-price-for-end-of-2025-if-sec-approves-spot-etf-in-october/
[3] 1 Key Reason Why XRP Lags Behind Ethereum and Other. Mitrade. https://www.mitrade.com/au/insights/news/live-news/article-8-1063721-20250823

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