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Ripple’s XRP rose approximately 5% in the past 24 hours, trading near $3 as of press time. The token, however, has lost 9% over the past week and remains 18% below its peak of $3.65, which was reached on July 18, 2025. Trading volumes spiked to over $110 million at peak hours, with larger buyers entering the market during the rally. However, sellers intervened above $3.03, triggering a short pullback and prompting profit-taking. XRP has since traded between $2.83 and $3.03 and is now entering a consolidation phase within a lifetime range of $2.77 to $3.32 [1].
On-chain data reveals key support and resistance levels that analysts are closely monitoring. According to analyst Ali Martinez, 1.8 billion XRP—representing 2.81% of the circulating supply—was previously accumulated near $2.80, forming a temporary support buffer. A stronger support level is observed below $2.48, where 1.41 billion XRP, or 2.2% of the supply, was exchanged. Analysts caution that lighter accumulation between these two zones leaves the token vulnerable to sharper price swings if selling pressure intensifies [1].
Further bearish signals emerge from the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, which recently formed a death cross, indicating increased risk of extended pullbacks as more holders face unrealized losses [1]. CRYPTOWZRD, a market analyst, highlighted that XRP ended daily sessions in positive territory, with key resistance levels at $3.30 and $3.65. A breakout above $3.65 would set a new all-time high. Daily support is identified at $2.80, with intraday support near $2.83 [1].
Technical analysis also points to the $3.20 level as a critical threshold for short-term trading setups. A confirmed breakout above this level could push XRP toward $3.23. Conversely, failure to maintain this level could lead to sideways consolidation near lower support zones [1]. Analyst CW noted that XRP is currently liquidating short positions after clearing highly leveraged longs, with a potential move to $3.06 possibly triggering a wave of short liquidations, which could heighten short-term volatility [1].
Whale activity has also raised concerns. Large XRP holders have shifted strategies since the July peak, selling over 700 million XRP valued at more than $2.1 billion in a single day. These large-scale disposals increase immediate selling pressure and may influence smaller traders to exit positions [1]. XRP’s price movements coincide with broader altcoin activity amid global markets navigating persistent inflation and cautious central bank policies [1].
XRP’s recent price action highlights the delicate balance between short-term optimism and underlying structural risks. While the token has shown resilience, on-chain indicators and whale behavior suggest that further consolidation or pullbacks are likely unless a sustained breakout occurs. Analysts remain divided between cautious optimism for a potential retest of previous highs and warnings of continued volatility driven by market structure and large holder sentiment [1].
Source: [1] Ripple's XRP Climbs 5%, But On-Chain Data Flags Further Risks Ahead (https://cryptopotato.com/ripples-xrp-climbs-5-but-on-chain-data-flags-further-risks-ahead/)

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