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Last week marked the formal end of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) legal case against Ripple Labs as both parties moved to dismiss their appeals in the Second Circuit, effectively closing a chapter that began in December 2020 [1]. The removal of this regulatory overhang was expected to trigger a significant bullish response for XRP; however, the market reaction has been subdued. After an initial rally pushing the token above $3.38,
soon retreated and briefly fell below the critical $3 level, a key support point for many traders [2].The muted response has led to speculation about why XRP did not experience a sustained rally following the conclusion of the case. Market observers suggest that much of the positive outcome was already priced in, particularly after a 500% surge in XRP between November 2024 and January 2025, which coincided with Donald Trump’s election and former SEC Chair Gary Gensler’s resignation [3]. The July 2025 filing, while positive, did not create new expectations, and thus failed to produce a breakout move. This contrasts with the July 2023 court ruling, which many viewed as an unexpected development that sparked a sharp intraday price movement [1].
Zach Humphries, a crypto entrepreneur and XRP advocate, noted that legal clarity alone is unlikely to drive lasting appreciation without meaningful real-world adoption [4]. He emphasized the need for U.S. banks and major
to integrate Ripple’s solutions and for the company to offer tokenization services to financial counterparties. Despite Ripple’s ongoing efforts in this area, the market has yet to respond with a significant rally [1]. Analysts remain divided: some project a potential move above $3.35 could spark momentum toward $3.66 and even $4.50 by year-end [3], while others warn of a possible pullback if key support levels fail to hold [4].Looking ahead, the broader cryptocurrency market is in a consolidation phase, with leverage-driven volatility testing the resilience of bullish momentum [8]. While the legal resolution was a critical development for XRP, it seems to have acted as a catalyst rather than an independent driver of a new bull run. Investors are now watching for additional triggers, including broader market trends or macroeconomic developments, to spark the next major move [9]. For bulls to regain control, XRP must retest and surpass the $3.00 level with significant volume and buying pressure.
Despite the tepid short-term response, some analysts maintain bullish long-term forecasts for XRP, with targets ranging from the low double digits to as high as $50 or more [1]. One analyst even predicts a potential move toward $220+ in the near term, supported by growing on-chain activity and whale accumulation [5]. However, others caution that XRP’s days of exponential growth may be over, particularly with the token showing only stable recovery after the legal case [6]. The path forward remains uncertain, but the broader ecosystem continues to monitor developments on the XRP Ledger (XRPL), which burns nearly 1 million XRP annually [9].
Source:
[1] Times, https://timestabloid.com/why-no-xrp-big-rally-after-case-ended-see-what-will-trigger-next-bull-run/
[2] The, https://thecryptobasic.com/2025/08/18/heres-why-xrp-didnt-skyrocket-after-the-sec-ended-the-ripple-lawsuit/
[3] The, https://m.economictimes.com/news/international/us/xrp-crashes-big-6-today-whales-scoop-440m-xrp-despite-retail-panic-doom-or-hope-ahead-whats-next-for-ripple/articleshow/123365106.cms
[4] Brave, https://bravenewcoin.com/insights/xrp-price-prediction-xrp-could-break-3-66-despite-sudden-pullback
[5] Binance, https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/28477517093314
[6] Mitrade, https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-3-1047652-20250818
[7] FastBull, https://m.fastbull.com/news-detail/ethereum-eth-bull-market-over-shiba-inu-shib-4340244_0
[8] Finance, https://www.financemagnates.com/trending/bitcoin-price-is-going-down-as-market-stress-tests-bulls-before-jackson-hole/
[9] The, https://thecryptobasic.com/2025/08/19/heres-xrp-price-by-2050-as-the-xrpl-burns-985000-xrp-a-year/
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