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XRP's price slipped below $2.30 on November 4, 2025, despite a wave of bullish developments from Ripple, including the highly anticipated Swell 2025 conference and institutional partnerships with
and the White House. The token's decline, driven by broader crypto market weakness and technical indicators, has reignited debates about its near-term trajectory and whether regulatory breakthroughs can offset bearish momentum, according to .The Swell 2025 event, hosted in New York City, has become a focal point for XRP's institutional adoption. BlackRock's Maxwell Stein and White House officials discussed regulatory frameworks and tokenized asset integration, fueling speculation about an
ETF; this was reported by . Analysts note that the XRP Ledger's (XRPL) compliance with ISO 20022 standards and its role in real-world asset (RWA) tokenization could position it as a cornerstone for institutional-grade blockchain solutions. However, XRP's price has struggled to hold key resistance levels, with the token trading near $2.30 as of late November, down from a recent high of $2.68, reported.Technical indicators suggest further downward pressure. XRP approached a "death cross" pattern, where the 50-day moving average neared a crossover below the 200-day average—a bearish signal historically linked to prolonged declines.
also noted that whale activity exacerbated the sell-off, with over 900,000 tokens sold in five days, reducing exchange reserves and deepening liquidity concerns. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator at -0.06 and declining Accumulation/Distribution lines underscored sustained selling pressure, with $2.00 now a critical support level, as reported by .
Institutional interest, however, remains a long-term bullish catalyst. Ripple's recent $500 million funding round at a $40 billion valuation—backed by Citadel Securities and Pantera Capital—highlighted growing confidence in its ecosystem, according to
. The company's expansion into custody, stablecoins, and prime brokerage services, including the launch of Ripple Prime, aims to bridge traditional finance and blockchain infrastructure. Meanwhile, Bitnomial's acceptance of RLUSD stablecoins and XRP as margin collateral marked a regulatory milestone, enhancing capital efficiency for traders, per .Grayscale's updated XRP Trust ETF filing added to the narrative: the second amendment to its Form S-1, submitted ahead of Swell 2025, signaled a serious push to bring XRP into regulated investment vehicles, according to
. If approved, the ETF could attract billions in institutional inflows, mirroring the success of ETFs. Yet, XRP's price remained range-bound, with analysts warning of one final rejection before a potential breakout, as earlier reporting from CoinEdition suggested.Market sentiment, however, remains divided. While Ripple's strategic partnerships and tokenized asset initiatives generated optimism, broader crypto risk-off sentiment—driven by macroeconomic uncertainty and Bitcoin's struggles—weighed on XRP. Futures data showed open interest declining by 5%, reflecting fading short-term demand, according to
.Investors are now closely monitoring Swell 2025 for announcements that could reignite momentum. BlackRock's involvement and potential RWA tokenization projects could validate XRP's utility, but a sustained recovery will depend on macroeconomic conditions and regulatory clarity. For now, XRP's path remains uncertain, balancing institutional adoption with technical headwinds.
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