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XRP has entered a critical phase in its price trajectory, with technical analysts identifying the formation of a potential "Wave 3" bullish structure that could drive the token to new highs. Current price action shows
consolidating near $2.55 amid strengthening institutional interest and evolving regulatory developments, particularly following the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) acknowledgment of Grayscale's XRP ETF filing [1]. This regulatory shift, coupled with robust technical patterns, has fueled speculation that XRP could enter a powerful upward phase, mirroring historical Elliott Wave dynamics. Analysts have highlighted a key consolidation phase completed in recent weeks, with the relative strength index (RSI) indicating a potential breakout [1].Technical indicators suggest XRP is nearing the start of a Wave 3 rally, a phase historically associated with aggressive price acceleration in Elliott Wave theory. Dark Defender, a prominent analyst, has outlined a scenario where XRP could surge to $5.85, representing a 129% increase from current levels [1]. Higher targets, including $18.22 and even $74, have been projected based on Fibonacci extensions and long-term wave structures [2]. These projections align with the token's historical behavior, characterized by prolonged consolidation followed by sharp upward moves. Short-term resistance levels at $2.66 and $3.12 are under close scrutiny, as breaking these thresholds could unlock further upside [1].
Regulatory clarity has emerged as a pivotal catalyst for XRP's potential surge. The dismissal of the SEC's appeal in the Ripple lawsuit in August 2025 has provided a legal framework that distinguishes XRP from securities, particularly for retail investors [7]. This development has spurred optimism around the approval of XRP-based ETFs, a milestone that could enhance market accessibility and institutional participation. Ripple's CEO, Brad Garlinghouse, has advocated for a "network maturity" test to determine whether tokens should be classified as securities, emphasizing the need for legislation tailored to digital assets . The approval of leveraged XRP futures ETFs in recent weeks further signals growing institutional confidence [4].
Market participation remains steady, with consistent trading volumes indicating ongoing accumulation during the current price range [1]. Traders are monitoring key support levels at $2.33 and $1.88, which have historically reinforced price stability during corrections [1]. Dark Defender has also outlined a more bearish scenario, where a pullback below $2.2222 could temporarily delay the Wave 3 rally [2]. However, the broader bullish narrative remains intact, supported by the token's resilience against
and the potential for renewed adoption in cross-border payment corridors [3].Long-term projections extend into 2027-2028, with analysts envisioning a multi-year rally that could redefine XRP's market position. Shawn Mark, another crypto strategist, has predicted a 600% surge to $13–$15, citing the token's recent 600% rise between November 2024 and January 2025 as a precedent [5]. These forecasts hinge on the continuation of bullish momentum, regulatory tailwinds, and the token's integration into financial infrastructure. Ripple's ongoing expansion in Asia-Pacific and Latin America, where XRP is used as a settlement bridge, further strengthens its utility-driven value proposition [7].
The potential for XRP to reclaim its status as a top-two cryptocurrency this cycle has drawn attention from both retail and institutional investors. Analysts argue that the token's utility in cross-border transactions and its role in decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystems could drive demand beyond speculative trading [7]. While the market remains volatile, the confluence of technical strength, regulatory progress, and real-world adoption positions XRP for a significant price discovery phase. Investors are advised to monitor key Fibonacci levels, such as the 1.382 extension at $4–$5, which could determine the trajectory of the next wave [3].
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