The
price is poised for a dramatic surge, with analysts suggesting it could "teleport" to $6.90 in a powerful Elliott Wave move. This forecast follows the resolution of the long-standing U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) lawsuit against Ripple Labs, which concluded in August 2025 with a $125 million settlement. The case, which spanned nearly five years, had cast a shadow over XRP's regulatory status, but Judge Analisa Torres' July 2023 ruling clarified that XRP is not a security when sold on public exchanges [6]. This legal clarity has reignited institutional interest, with over $928 million in XRP now held in institutional wallets as traders await October 2025 decisions on multiple spot XRP ETF applications [12].
Technical analysts tracking XRP's Elliott Wave patterns see a bullish setup. According to Josh of Crypto World, XRP remains in a fifth-wave rally from its 2013 lows, with current price action indicating a healthy correction within a broader uptrend [1]. Meanwhile, CasiTrades and other traders highlight that XRP's recent defense of the $3.00 support level-confirmed by a 77% surge in 24-hour trading volume-signals the potential start of Wave 3, which could push the token toward $3.65 and eventually new all-time highs [2]. Short-term targets from analysts like Rekt Fencer ($5.20–$6.50) and Alex Cobb ($22 by 2025) further underscore optimism [2].
Elliott Wave scenarios from More Crypto Online (MCO) suggest XRP could hit $5–$6.60 before a correction phase begins. The primary "yellow scenario" envisions a completion of a five-wave structure from 2013, with a subsequent deep pullback to $0.40–$0.50. However, as long as XRP stays above $2.12, the bullish case remains intact [3]. Conversely, a break below this level could trigger a wider B-wave correction, testing the $1.84–$2.01 zone.
The regulatory landscape has shifted dramatically, with Ripple's legal victory creating a precedent for how digital assets might be classified. The first U.S.-listed spot XRP ETF, REX-Osprey XRPR, launched in September 2025, trading at $3.00 with $37.7 million in first-day volume [9]. Analysts project that if ETFs are approved between October 18–25, 2025, inflows could reach $5–15 billion, creating a supply squeeze and driving XRP's price higher [14]. This aligns with broader institutional adoption, as Ripple's On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) platform has already facilitated $1.3 trillion in cross-border transactions [11].
Despite the bullish outlook, risks remain. If XRP fails to hold above $2.79, the bearish case could see a retest of $2.21–$2.46 [1]. Additionally, ETF approvals may hinge on structural factors-such as whether issuers rely on spot purchases or derivatives-and macroeconomic shocks could disrupt inflows [14]. However, the XRP community, often called the "XRP Army," has remained resilient, mobilizing support during the legal battle and now advocating for ETF adoption [13].
The resolution of the SEC case has also accelerated Ripple's global expansion. With regulatory clarity in the U.S., Ripple is now pursuing a national bank charter, which could further integrate XRP into traditional finance [9]. Meanwhile, the XRP Ledger (XRPL) ecosystem is evolving, with upgrades like Multi-Purpose Tokens (MPTs) and institutional-grade DeFi platforms like VS1 Finance expanding its utility [9].
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