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The
market cap has rebounded to $36 billion following a sharp flash crash, driven by institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, and anticipation of spot ETF approvals. The recovery follows a 42% intraday plunge in late October 2025, triggered by Donald Trump's 100% tariff announcement on Chinese imports, which sparked a $19 billion liquidation event across cryptocurrencies. Despite the volatility, XRP stabilized above $2.30, with institutional investors and long-term holders absorbing sell pressure, signaling resilience in the asset's demand .The rebound coincided with the resolution of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) lawsuit against Ripple Labs in August 2025, which provided long-awaited legal clarity for XRP. This development catalyzed the launch of the first U.S.-listed spot XRP ETF, REX-Osprey XRPR, on September 18, 2025, which recorded $38 million in first-day trading volume [8]. Analysts estimate that upcoming ETF approvals, including applications from Grayscale, Bitwise, and 21Shares, could unlock $5–$8 billion in institutional inflows by year-end, tightening XRP's circulating supply and potentially elevating its price [5].

Institutional confidence in XRP has grown, with $210 million in inflows reported in September 2025 despite market volatility. Whale activity also shifted toward accumulation, with over 439 million XRP ($1.2 billion) withdrawn from exchanges in late September, indicating a bearish-to-bullish sentiment shift [2]. Additionally, XRP's utility in cross-border payments and tokenization, supported by Ripple's partnerships with banks and CBDC pilots, has bolstered its appeal as a bridge currency [6].
Technically, XRP faces critical resistance at $2.75–$2.81, with a breakout above $3.02 potentially targeting $3.61, nearing its all-time high of $3.66. However, a drop below $2.75 could trigger further sell-offs toward $2.00, aligning with historical patterns. October has historically averaged -4.5% returns for XRP, but analysts argue 2025 may deviate due to regulatory progress and ETF-driven demand [1].
Market participants are closely monitoring the SEC's October 18–25 decision window for XRP ETFs, alongside Ripple's pending national banking charter application. A successful outcome could position XRP for sustained institutional adoption, mirroring Bitcoin's ETF-driven rally. However, risks remain, including potential "sell the news" reactions if ETF approvals are already priced in or if geopolitical tensions persist [3].
The XRP rebound reflects broader crypto market dynamics, where liquidity absorption by institutions and macroeconomic factors-such as Bitcoin's performance-play pivotal roles. With XRP's market cap stabilizing at $36 billion, the asset's trajectory will hinge on regulatory outcomes, ETF inflows, and its ability to maintain key support levels amid ongoing volatility.
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